Kairat 2-0 Aktobe — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kazakistan - Super Cup, 22 Feb 2025

📅22/02/2025 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.25
Draw
31%
3.28
Away
30%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.67
Over 2.5
44%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
No
51%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
15%
X/2
11%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
13%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
41%
-2.4pp
31%
Draw
28%
+3.2pp
31%
Away Win
31%
-0.8pp
56%
Under 2.5
56%
-0.1pp
44%
Over 2.5
44%
+0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kairat EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Aktobe EU Bookmakers 34%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
211 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 221 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kairat
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Aktobe
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
04.10.2024 Aktobe Aktobe 2-1 HT 0-0 Kairat Kairat KAZP
20.04.2024 Kairat Kairat 1-3 HT 0-1 Aktobe Aktobe KAZP
06.08.2023 Aktobe Aktobe 4-2 HT 2-2 Kairat Kairat KAZP
14.05.2023 Kairat Kairat 2-1 HT 0-0 Aktobe Aktobe KAZP
06.11.2022 Aktobe Aktobe 4-1 HT 3-1 Kairat Kairat KAZP
06.03.2022 Kairat Kairat 2-0 HT 0-0 Aktobe Aktobe KAZP
POST-MATCH Kairat vs Aktobe
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kairat got the better of Aktobe 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (39% / 31% / 31%) promised a tight game; Kairat found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Aktobe led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Kairat and 2.33 for Aktobe.

What was the final score of Kairat vs Aktobe?

Kairat 2-0 Aktobe in the Kazakistan - Super Cup on 22/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kairat vs Aktobe?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kairat win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Kairat 39%, draw 31%, Aktobe 31%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kairat), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Kairat) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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