Aktobe 2-1 Kairat — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kazakistan - Super League, 4 Oct 2024

📅04/10/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.09
Draw
35%
3.18
Away
31%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.64
Over 2.5
49%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.9
No
44%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
13%
X/X
17%
2/1
6%
2/2
11%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
44%
-9.7pp
35%
Draw
28%
+7.7pp
31%
Away Win
29%
+1.9pp
51%
Under 2.5
57%
-5.9pp
49%
Over 2.5
43%
+5.9pp
56%
BTTS Yes
49%
+6.8pp
44%
BTTS No
51%
-6.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Aktobe EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Kairat EU Bookmakers 32%
-6% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +19%
1.55/1.47 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.50/1.10
+16% / -28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +38% / +5%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 3
328 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 328 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Aktobe
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Kairat
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
20.04.2024 Kairat Kairat 1-3 HT 0-1 Aktobe Aktobe KAZP
06.08.2023 Aktobe Aktobe 4-2 HT 2-2 Kairat Kairat KAZP
14.05.2023 Kairat Kairat 2-1 HT 0-0 Aktobe Aktobe KAZP
06.11.2022 Aktobe Aktobe 4-1 HT 3-1 Kairat Kairat KAZP
06.03.2022 Kairat Kairat 2-0 HT 0-0 Aktobe Aktobe KAZP
16.10.2021 Aktobe Aktobe 1-2 HT 0-2 Kairat Kairat KAZP
POST-MATCH Aktobe vs Kairat
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Aktobe squeezed past Kairat 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 35% / 31% — and on the day Aktobe made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (56%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Aktobe and 1.67 for Kairat.

What was the final score of Aktobe vs Kairat?

Aktobe 2-1 Kairat in the Kazakistan - Super League on 04/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Aktobe vs Kairat?

Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Aktobe 34%, draw 35%, Kairat 31%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Draw), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Draw) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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