Atyrau 3-0 FK Turan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kazakistan - Super League, 4 Oct 2024

📅04/10/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.57
Draw
26%
3.64
Away
16%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.62
Over 2.5
47%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
2.27
No
51%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
21%
X/2
8%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
4%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
60%
-1.9pp
26%
Draw
24%
+1.7pp
16%
Away Win
16%
+0.3pp
53%
Under 2.5
58%
-4.5pp
47%
Over 2.5
42%
+4.5pp
49%
BTTS Yes
40%
+8.7pp
51%
BTTS No
60%
-8.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atyrau EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY FK Turan EU Bookmakers 19%
-2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +38% / +35%
1.01/0.63 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.04/1.17
-44% / +41% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / +40%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
316 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 252 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atyrau
1W-2D-2L
AWAY FK Turan
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.40
01.07.2024 FK Turan FK Turan 2-1 HT 1-0 Atyrau Atyrau KAZP
15.09.2022 Atyrau Atyrau 0-2 HT 0-1 FK Turan FK Turan KAZP
27.04.2022 FK Turan FK Turan 0-0 HT 0-0 Atyrau Atyrau KAZP
11.09.2021 Atyrau Atyrau 2-2 HT 1-1 FK Turan FK Turan KAZP
28.04.2021 FK Turan FK Turan 1-2 HT 1-1 Atyrau Atyrau KAZP
POST-MATCH Atyrau vs FK Turan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atyrau swept aside FK Turan 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Atyrau as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, FK Turan led the recent series with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Atyrau and 1.40 for FK Turan.

What was the final score of Atyrau vs FK Turan?

Atyrau 3-0 FK Turan in the Kazakistan - Super League on 04/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atyrau vs FK Turan?

Before kick-off our model rated a Atyrau win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Atyrau 58%, draw 26%, FK Turan 16%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Atyrau), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Atyrau) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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