Zhenys 2-1 Tobol — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kazakistan - Super League, 4 Oct 2024

Zhenys
2-1 HT 2-0
Tobol
📅04/10/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Kazakistan - Super League – 2024

Zhenys vs Tobol Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
3.75
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
48%
1.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.68
Over 2.5
45%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.96
No
54%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
8%
X/2
22%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
19%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
23%
+2.9pp
26%
Draw
25%
+0.4pp
48%
Away Win
52%
-3.2pp
55%
Under 2.5
56%
-0.6pp
45%
Over 2.5
44%
+0.6pp
46%
BTTS Yes
47%
-0.9pp
54%
BTTS No
53%
+0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Zhenys v Tobol — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Zhenys EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Tobol EU Bookmakers 56%
-10% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -9%
0.66/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.35/1.09
-31% / +19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / -35%
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 6
272 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 335 · 77%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards 1.6

Zhenys vs Tobol Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Zhenys
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Tobol
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
The Meetings
27.04.2024 Tobol Tobol 1-1 HT 1-0 Zhenys KAZP
POST-MATCH Zhenys vs Tobol
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Zhenys squeezed past Tobol 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.

Our pre-match lean was Tobol at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Zhenys vs Tobol?

Zhenys 2-1 Tobol in the Kazakistan - Super League on 04/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Zhenys vs Tobol?

Before kick-off our model rated an Tobol win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Zhenys 26%, draw 26%, Tobol 48%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Tobol) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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