Hamrun Spartans 1-0 Balzan FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — MALTP, 22 Feb 2025

📅22/02/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.45
Draw
28%
3.94
Away
23%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.8
Over 2.5
38%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.13
No
60%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
5%
1/X
12%
X/1
16%
X/2
14%
X/X
12%
2/1
3%
2/2
5%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
64%
-15.2pp
28%
Draw
22%
+6.2pp
23%
Away Win
14%
+9.0pp
62%
Under 2.5
52%
+10.2pp
38%
Over 2.5
48%
-10.2pp
40%
BTTS Yes
43%
-3.0pp
60%
BTTS No
57%
+3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hamrun Spartans EU Bookmakers 69%
Head to Head
AWAY Balzan FC EU Bookmakers 17%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -29% / -29%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +66% / -74%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
322 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 283 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hamrun Spartans
3W-2D-0L
AWAY Balzan FC
2.40 Avg Goals (FT) 0.80
55% Ball Possession 45%
9 Total Shots 5
5 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 4
21.09.2024 Balzan FC Balzan FC 1-1 HT 0-1 Hamrun Spartans Hamrun Spartans MLTP
27.01.2024 Balzan FC Balzan FC 1-7 HT 1-2 Hamrun Spartans Hamrun Spartans MLTP
16.09.2023 Hamrun Spartans Hamrun Spartans 1-0 HT 0-0 Balzan FC Balzan FC MLTP
06.11.2022 Hamrun Spartans Hamrun Spartans 1-0 HT 0-0 Balzan FC Balzan FC MLTP
22.01.2022 Balzan FC Balzan FC 2-2 HT 2-0 Hamrun Spartans Hamrun Spartans MLTP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hamrun Spartans
1-0
AWAY Balzan FC
56% Ball Possession 44%
9 Total Shots 1
1 Shots on Target 0
8 Corners 5
7 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Hamrun Spartans vs Balzan FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hamrun Spartans squeezed past Balzan FC 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Hamrun Spartans as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (60%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Hamrun Spartans had 56% of the ball to Balzan FC's 44%, shots finished 9-1.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Hamrun Spartans had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.40 goals for Hamrun Spartans and 0.80 for Balzan FC.

What was the final score of Hamrun Spartans vs Balzan FC?

Hamrun Spartans 1-0 Balzan FC in the MALTP on 22/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hamrun Spartans vs Balzan FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hamrun Spartans win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Hamrun Spartans 49%, draw 28%, Balzan FC 23%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hamrun Spartans), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Hamrun Spartans) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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