Venados 2-1 Alebrijes de Oaxaca — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera A, 22 Feb 2025

📅22/02/2025 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
60%
1.42
Draw
25%
4.62
Away
15%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
36%
Over 2.5
64%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.68
No
45%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
16%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
21%
X/2
7%
X/X
15%
2/1
8%
2/2
4%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
60%
Home Win
66%
-6.8pp
25%
Draw
19%
+6.7pp
15%
Away Win
15%
+0.0pp
55%
BTTS Yes
56%
-0.7pp
45%
BTTS No
44%
+0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Venados EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Alebrijes de Oaxaca EU Bookmakers 18%
+1% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -11%
2.47/1.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.02/2.12
+30% / -20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / -19%
55% Ball Possession 45%
16 Total Shots 10
8 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
409 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 302 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Venados
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Alebrijes de Oaxaca
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
09.09.2024 Alebrijes de Oaxaca Alebrijes de Oaxaca 1-0 HT 0-0 Venados Venados MEK2
13.03.2024 Venados Venados 2-1 HT 1-1 Alebrijes de Oaxaca Alebrijes de Oaxaca MEK2
06.09.2023 Alebrijes de Oaxaca Alebrijes de Oaxaca 2-1 HT 2-1 Venados Venados MEK2
19.01.2023 Venados Venados 2-1 HT 1-0 Alebrijes de Oaxaca Alebrijes de Oaxaca MEK2
08.07.2022 Alebrijes de Oaxaca Alebrijes de Oaxaca 0-0 HT 0-0 Venados Venados MEK2
10.02.2022 Alebrijes de Oaxaca Alebrijes de Oaxaca 1-0 HT 0-0 Venados Venados MEK2
POST-MATCH Venados vs Alebrijes de Oaxaca
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Venados edged past Alebrijes de Oaxaca 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Venados as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (64%), both teams to score (55%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Alebrijes de Oaxaca led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Venados and 1.00 for Alebrijes de Oaxaca.

What was the final score of Venados vs Alebrijes de Oaxaca?

Venados 2-1 Alebrijes de Oaxaca in the Mexico - Primera A on 22/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Venados vs Alebrijes de Oaxaca?

Before kick-off our model rated a Venados win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Venados 60%, draw 25%, Alebrijes de Oaxaca 15%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Venados), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Venados) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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