Widzew Lodz 0-4 Pogon Szczecin — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - Ekstraklasa, 22 Feb 2025

📅22/02/2025 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
3.08
Draw
31%
3.35
Away
40%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
52%
1.97
Over
48%
1.79
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.64
No
48%
2.12
Total Goals
0-1
30%
3.47
2-3
37%
1.76
4-5
22%
3.12
6+
11%
10.9
Value flag · 0-1 at 3.47 — our 30% vs market 22.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
4.96
1/2
6%
23.85
1/X
9%
13.3
X/1
10%
7.07
X/2
16%
4.94
X/X
12%
4.93
2/1
6%
32.0
2/2
19%
2.85
2/X
9%
12.65
STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
EV — the best model-vs-price gap in that group: the market pays more than our probability implies. After full time the tag settles to / . Informational, not a validated tip — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik model signals — not real match figures
HOME Widzew Lodz The Market 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Pogon Szczecin The Market 49%
Average Season vs Marketall history · vs bookmaker expectation Weak
Average Recent Form vs Marketlatest matches · vs bookmaker expectation Bad
1.27 Expected Goals Scoredper match · higher is better 1.60
1.35 Expected Goals Concededper match · lower is better 1.10
Strong Attackvs comparable teams Average
Weak Defensevs comparable teams Average
42% Ball Possession 58%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
288 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 427 · 83%
20.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 27.6
21.6 Crosses 20.8
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Widzew Lodz
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Pogon Szczecin
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.47 xG 1.93
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 7
339 Passes 419
81% Pass Accuracy 84%
17 Box Touches 36
16 Crosses 24
1 Yellow Cards 1
17.08.2024 Pogon Szczecin Pogon Szczecin 2-0 HT 1-0 Widzew Lodz Widzew Lodz POL
16.12.2023 Widzew Lodz Widzew Lodz 1-2 HT 1-1 Pogon Szczecin Pogon Szczecin POL
30.07.2023 Pogon Szczecin Pogon Szczecin 2-1 HT 0-1 Widzew Lodz Widzew Lodz POL
28.01.2023 Widzew Lodz Widzew Lodz 3-3 HT 0-1 Pogon Szczecin Pogon Szczecin POL
17.07.2022 Pogon Szczecin Pogon Szczecin 2-1 HT 1-1 Widzew Lodz Widzew Lodz POL
12.04.2014 Pogon Szczecin Pogon Szczecin 1-0 HT 0-0 Widzew Lodz Widzew Lodz POL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Widzew Lodz
0-4
AWAY Pogon Szczecin
1.00 xG 3.32
43% Ball Possession 57%
11 Total Shots 19
4 Shots on Target 9
5 Corners 7
231 Passes 317
78% Pass Accuracy 81%
21 Box Touches 39
18 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 0
REVIEW Widzew Lodz vs Pogon Szczecin
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Pogon Szczecin ran out comfortable winners over Widzew Lodz 4-0 on the road. Half-time: 0-2.

From a near-even 29% / 31% / 40% read, it was Pogon Szczecin who turned the coin-flip their way.

No strong lean on goals — the model had over 2.5 at 48% and both teams to score at 52%, coin-flips both. The market went further still — the BTTS-yes price closed at 1.64, about 61%.

The match data tells the story: Pogon Szczecin saw more of the ball, 57% to 43%, shots finished 11-19, expected goals 1.00 to 3.32.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Pogon Szczecin led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.00 a game for Widzew Lodz against 2.00 for Pogon Szczecin.

Widzew Lodz vs Pogon Szczecin Result & Final Score

Widzew Lodz 0-4 Pogon Szczecin in the Poland - Ekstraklasa on 22/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Widzew Lodz vs Pogon Szczecin Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated an Pogon Szczecin win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Widzew Lodz 29%, draw 31%, Pogon Szczecin 40%. The final score 0-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Pogon Szczecin) — while Under 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Pogon Szczecin) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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