Radomiak Radom 3-1 Legia Varşova — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - Ekstraklasa, 22 Feb 2025

📅22/02/2025 · 🕒22:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
3.75
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
43%
1.77
Under/Over 2.5
Under
47%
2.0
Over Pick
53%
1.77
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.69
No
47%
2.05
Total Goals
0-1
24%
3.52
2-3
39%
1.77
4-5
25%
3.1
6+
12%
10.6
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
6.73
1/2
7%
22.55
1/X
6%
14.8
X/1
11%
8.85
X/2
13%
4.41
X/X
11%
5.21
2/1
9%
34.5
2/2
23%
2.31
2/X
9%
13.5
STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik model signals — not real match figures
HOME Radomiak Radom The Market 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Legia Varşova The Market 56%
Weak Season vs Marketall history · vs bookmaker expectation Average
Bad Recent Form vs Marketlatest matches · vs bookmaker expectation Strong
1.35 Expected Goals Scoredper match · higher is better 1.44
1.70 Expected Goals Concededper match · lower is better 1.22
Weak Attackvs comparable teams Average
Weak Defensevs comparable teams Strong
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
322 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 329 · 79%
21.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.5
19.9 Crosses 20.0
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Radomiak Radom
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Legia Varşova
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.41 xG 1.33
45% Ball Possession 55%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
292 Passes 378
79% Pass Accuracy 82%
17 Box Touches 20
18 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 3
18.08.2024 Legia Varşova Legia Varşova 4-1 HT 2-0 Radomiak Radom Radomiak Radom POL
05.05.2024 Legia Varşova Legia Varşova 0-3 HT 0-0 Radomiak Radom Radomiak Radom POL
05.11.2023 Radomiak Radom Radomiak Radom 0-1 HT 0-1 Legia Varşova Legia Varşova POL
17.03.2023 Radomiak Radom Radomiak Radom 0-2 HT 0-1 Legia Varşova Legia Varşova POL
02.09.2022 Legia Varşova Legia Varşova 1-0 HT 0-0 Radomiak Radom Radomiak Radom POL
19.12.2021 Legia Varşova Legia Varşova 0-3 HT 0-1 Radomiak Radom Radomiak Radom POL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Radomiak Radom
3-1
AWAY Legia Varşova
3.44 xG 0.60
41% Ball Possession 59%
22 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 5
212 Passes 342
69% Pass Accuracy 77%
28 Box Touches 16
9 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 1
REVIEW Radomiak Radom vs Legia Varşova
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Radomiak Radom put daylight between themselves and Legia Varşova 3-1. Half-time: 2-1.

Our pre-match lean was Legia Varşova at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. Small consolation: at 1.77 (roughly 56%) the price was further off than we were.

No strong lean on goals — the model had over 2.5 at 53% and both teams to score at 53%, coin-flips both. The market went further still — the BTTS-yes price closed at 1.69, about 59%.

Under the surface, Legia Varşova saw more of the ball, 59% to 41%, shots finished 22-10, expected goals 3.44 to 0.60.

The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Legia Varşova led the recent series with 4 wins. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.17 a game for Radomiak Radom against 1.33 for Legia Varşova.

Radomiak Radom vs Legia Varşova Result & Final Score

Radomiak Radom 3-1 Legia Varşova in the Poland - Ekstraklasa on 22/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Radomiak Radom vs Legia Varşova Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated an Legia Varşova win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Radomiak Radom 31%, draw 26%, Legia Varşova 43%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Legia Varşova) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Legia Varşova) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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