Mafra 1-4 Vizela — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 2nd Division, 22 Feb 2025

Mafra
1-4 HT 0-3
Vizela
📅22/02/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
3.29
Draw
34%
3.11
Away
38%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.64
Over 2.5
40%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.9
No
53%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2.52
2-3 Goals
40%
1.71
4-5 Goals
20%
4.16
6+ Goals
7%
21.1
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
6%
X/2
9%
X/X
16%
2/1
6%
2/2
25%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
27%
+0.9pp
34%
Draw
29%
+4.7pp
38%
Away Win
44%
-5.5pp
60%
Under 2.5
57%
+3.2pp
40%
Over 2.5
43%
-3.2pp
47%
BTTS Yes
49%
-1.3pp
53%
BTTS No
51%
+1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mafra EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Vizela EU Bookmakers 48%
+1% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +16% / +16%
1.38/1.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.20/0.63
-13% / +32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +47% / +4%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
288 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 342 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
17.1 Crosses 23.0
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mafra
1W-1D-2L
AWAY Vizela
0.75 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.45 xG 0.96
44% Ball Possession 56%
6 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
249 Passes 357
77% Pass Accuracy 81%
14 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 3
30.09.2024 Vizela Vizela 3-0 HT 1-0 Mafra Mafra POR2
05.12.2022 Mafra Mafra 1-1 HT 1-0 Vizela Vizela PORLC
06.03.2021 Vizela Vizela 2-0 HT 0-0 Mafra Mafra POR2
17.10.2020 Mafra Mafra 2-0 HT 1-0 Vizela Vizela POR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mafra
1-4
AWAY Vizela
1.40 xG 2.80
56% Ball Possession 44%
11 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 10
3 Corners 6
280 Passes 215
78% Pass Accuracy 76%
13 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Mafra vs Vizela
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vizela swept aside Mafra 4-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-3. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 28% / 34% / 38% — and on the day Vizela made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Mafra had 56% of the ball to Vizela's 44%, shots finished 11-16, expected goals 1.40 to 2.80.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Vizela led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.75 goals for Mafra and 1.50 for Vizela.

What was the final score of Mafra vs Vizela?

Mafra 1-4 Vizela in the Portugal - 2nd Division on 22/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mafra vs Vizela?

Before kick-off our model rated an Vizela win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Mafra 28%, draw 34%, Vizela 38%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Vizela) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Vizela) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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