Benfica II 0-0 Paços De Ferreira — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 2nd Division, 22 Feb 2025

📅22/02/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.19
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
34%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.82
Over 2.5
48%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.73
No
49%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
28%
3.03
2-3 Goals
40%
1.73
4-5 Goals
22%
3.47
6+ Goals
10%
14.05
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.03 — our 28% vs market 25.9%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
13%
X/2
11%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
17%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
42%
-1.8pp
26%
Draw
27%
-1.3pp
34%
Away Win
31%
+3.1pp
52%
Under 2.5
51%
+0.6pp
48%
Over 2.5
49%
-0.6pp
51%
BTTS Yes
54%
-2.7pp
49%
BTTS No
46%
+2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Benfica II EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Paços De Ferreira EU Bookmakers 34%
+0% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +17%
1.54/1.18 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.11/1.27
+23% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / -3%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
335 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 302 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
16.0 Crosses 18.0
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Benfica II
1W-2D-0L
AWAY Paços De Ferreira
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.80 xG 1.37
48% Ball Possession 52%
15 Total Shots 15
8 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
319 Passes 334
81% Pass Accuracy 82%
14 Crosses 24
3 Yellow Cards 3
28.09.2024 Paços De Ferreira Paços De Ferreira 0-3 HT 0-1 Benfica II Benfica II POR2
05.05.2024 Benfica II Benfica II 2-2 HT 2-0 Paços De Ferreira Paços De Ferreira POR2
30.12.2023 Paços De Ferreira Paços De Ferreira 2-2 HT 2-2 Benfica II Benfica II POR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Benfica II
0-0
AWAY Paços De Ferreira
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 8
POST-MATCH Benfica II vs Paços De Ferreira
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Benfica II and Paços De Ferreira fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match split (40% / 26% / 34%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Benfica II had 52% of the ball to Paços De Ferreira's 48%, shots finished 15-11.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Benfica II had the better of it with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Benfica II and 1.33 for Paços De Ferreira.

What was the final score of Benfica II vs Paços De Ferreira?

Benfica II 0-0 Paços De Ferreira in the Portugal - 2nd Division on 22/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Benfica II vs Paços De Ferreira?

Before kick-off our model rated a Benfica II win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Benfica II 40%, draw 26%, Paços De Ferreira 34%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Benfica II), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Benfica II) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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