Paços De Ferreira 0-3 Benfica II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 2nd Division, 28 Sep 2024

📅28/09/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.33
Draw
24%
3.18
Away
40%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
1.78
Over 2.5
54%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.75
No
48%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
3.07
2-3 Goals
42%
1.78
4-5 Goals
24%
3.81
6+ Goals
11%
16.55
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
8%
1/X
5%
X/1
12%
X/2
12%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
20%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
39%
-3.0pp
24%
Draw
28%
-3.8pp
40%
Away Win
33%
+6.7pp
46%
Under 2.5
52%
-6.0pp
54%
Over 2.5
48%
+6.0pp
52%
BTTS Yes
53%
-1.1pp
48%
BTTS No
47%
+1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Paços De Ferreira EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Benfica II EU Bookmakers 37%
-7% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +8%
1.38/1.36 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.55/1.47
-11% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +38% / -22%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
276 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 342 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
25.9 Crosses 17.1
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Paços De Ferreira
0W-2D-0L
AWAY Benfica II
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.29 xG 2.09
48% Ball Possession 52%
15 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 10
4 Corners 6
336 Passes 363
81% Pass Accuracy 84%
18 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
05.05.2024 Benfica II Benfica II 2-2 HT 2-0 Paços De Ferreira Paços De Ferreira POR2
30.12.2023 Paços De Ferreira Paços De Ferreira 2-2 HT 2-2 Benfica II Benfica II POR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Paços De Ferreira
0-3
AWAY Benfica II
1.52 xG 1.21
59% Ball Possession 41%
15 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 6
9 Corners 3
330 Passes 230
83% Pass Accuracy 75%
36 Crosses 9
5 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Paços De Ferreira vs Benfica II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Benfica II ran out comfortable winners over Paços De Ferreira 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (36% / 24% / 40%) promised a tight game; Benfica II found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Paços De Ferreira had 59% of the ball to Benfica II's 41%, shots finished 15-14, expected goals 1.52 to 1.21.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 0 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Paços De Ferreira and 2.00 for Benfica II.

What was the final score of Paços De Ferreira vs Benfica II?

Paços De Ferreira 0-3 Benfica II in the Portugal - 2nd Division on 28/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Paços De Ferreira vs Benfica II?

Before kick-off our model rated an Benfica II win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Paços De Ferreira 36%, draw 24%, Benfica II 40%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Benfica II), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Benfica II) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
POR2 More Portugal - 2nd Division
28 Sep 2024
13:00 Chaves vs Torreense Analysis →
20:00 Portimonense vs Penafiel Analysis →
22:30 Tondela vs Academico Viseu Analysis →