Chaves 2-1 Torreense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 2nd Division, 28 Sep 2024

📅28/09/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.92
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
29%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.68
Over 2.5
46%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.9
No
51%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.77
2-3 Goals
40%
1.77
4-5 Goals
22%
4.22
6+ Goals
10%
20.75
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
14%
X/2
12%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
11%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
48%
-5.1pp
28%
Draw
27%
+0.9pp
29%
Away Win
25%
+4.2pp
54%
Under 2.5
56%
-1.9pp
46%
Over 2.5
44%
+1.9pp
49%
BTTS Yes
49%
+0.6pp
51%
BTTS No
51%
-0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chaves EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Torreense EU Bookmakers 29%
-6% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / +0%
1.20/0.83 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/1.42
-25% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -36% / +6%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
356 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 280 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
19.9 Crosses 20.2
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.5
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Chaves
2-1
AWAY Torreense
2.57 xG 1.65
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 14
1 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
237 Passes 292
76% Pass Accuracy 77%
18 Crosses 30
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Chaves vs Torreense
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chaves squeezed past Torreense 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As we said in the preview, our model had Chaves as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Chaves had 45% of the ball to Torreense's 55%, shots finished 12-14, expected goals 2.57 to 1.65.

What was the final score of Chaves vs Torreense?

Chaves 2-1 Torreense in the Portugal - 2nd Division on 28/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chaves vs Torreense?

Before kick-off our model rated a Chaves win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Chaves 43%, draw 28%, Torreense 29%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Chaves) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Chaves) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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