Tondela 4-1 Academico Viseu — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 2nd Division, 28 Sep 2024

📅28/09/2024 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.47
Draw
29%
3.04
Away
37%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.64
Over 2.5
46%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.88
No
49%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.67
2-3 Goals
41%
1.77
4-5 Goals
21%
4.41
6+ Goals
9%
22.7
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
8%
1/X
5%
X/1
9%
X/2
10%
X/X
16%
2/1
8%
2/2
19%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
37%
-3.0pp
29%
Draw
30%
-0.3pp
37%
Away Win
34%
+3.3pp
54%
Under 2.5
57%
-2.8pp
46%
Over 2.5
43%
+2.8pp
51%
BTTS Yes
49%
+1.7pp
49%
BTTS No
51%
-1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tondela EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Academico Viseu EU Bookmakers 37%
-10% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -1%
1.11/1.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.28/1.43
-11% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / -1%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
295 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 285 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
20.0 Crosses 17.4
2.9 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tondela
0W-5D-1L
AWAY Academico Viseu
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.10 xG 1.18
53% Ball Possession 47%
9 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
273 Passes 258
74% Pass Accuracy 73%
18 Crosses 22
3 Yellow Cards 3
30.01.2024 Academico Viseu Academico Viseu 1-1 HT 0-0 Tondela Tondela POR2
19.08.2023 Tondela Tondela 2-2 HT 2-1 Academico Viseu Academico Viseu POR2
17.02.2023 Tondela Tondela 1-1 HT 1-1 Academico Viseu Academico Viseu POR2
15.12.2022 Academico Viseu Academico Viseu 4-1 HT 2-0 Tondela Tondela PORLC
27.08.2022 Academico Viseu Academico Viseu 2-2 HT 0-2 Tondela Tondela POR2
17.07.2015 Academico Viseu Academico Viseu 0-0 HT 0-0 Tondela Tondela HAZ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tondela
4-1
AWAY Academico Viseu
1.31 xG 0.82
40% Ball Possession 60%
13 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 8
185 Passes 281
68% Pass Accuracy 77%
15 Crosses 25
3 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Tondela vs Academico Viseu
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tondela ran out comfortable winners over Academico Viseu 4-1. Half-time: 3-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (34% / 29% / 37%) promised a tight game; Tondela found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Tondela had 40% of the ball to Academico Viseu's 60%, shots finished 13-6, expected goals 1.31 to 0.82.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Academico Viseu led the recent series with 1 wins, 5 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Tondela and 1.67 for Academico Viseu.

What was the final score of Tondela vs Academico Viseu?

Tondela 4-1 Academico Viseu in the Portugal - 2nd Division on 28/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tondela vs Academico Viseu?

Before kick-off our model rated an Academico Viseu win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Tondela 34%, draw 29%, Academico Viseu 37%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Academico Viseu), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Academico Viseu) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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