Maritimo vs Uniao De Leiria Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Maritimo v Uniao De Leiria — Team-Based Signals
Maritimo vs Uniao De Leiria Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
4-3
HT 3-2
Maritimo
POR2
1-0
HT 0-0
Uniao De Leiria
POR
1-3
HT 0-2
Maritimo
POR
Maritimo 1-2 Uniao De Leiria — Actual Match Statistics
Uniao De Leiria squeezed past Maritimo 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 23% / 37% — and on the day Uniao De Leiria made the difference.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.
On the day, Maritimo had 49% of the ball to Uniao De Leiria's 51%, shots finished 16-15, expected goals 1.46 to 1.51.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Maritimo had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Maritimo and 1.50 for Uniao De Leiria.
What was the final score of Maritimo vs Uniao De Leiria?
Maritimo 1-2 Uniao De Leiria in the Portugal - 2nd Division on 22/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Maritimo vs Uniao De Leiria?
Before kick-off our model rated a Maritimo win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Maritimo 40%, draw 23%, Uniao De Leiria 37%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Maritimo) went the other way.