Al Kholood 1-0 Al Wehda — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League, 22 Feb 2025

📅22/02/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
1.96
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
32%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.95
Over 2.5
52%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.68
No
49%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
26%
3.38
2-3 Goals
38%
1.75
4-5 Goals
24%
3.18
6+ Goals
12%
11.4
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.38 — our 26% vs market 22.8%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
19%
X/2
13%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
14%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
47%
-5.7pp
27%
Draw
26%
+0.3pp
32%
Away Win
26%
+5.4pp
48%
Under 2.5
48%
+0.5pp
52%
Over 2.5
52%
-0.5pp
51%
BTTS Yes
56%
-4.1pp
49%
BTTS No
44%
+4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Kholood EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Wehda EU Bookmakers 30%
+23% / +23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -2%
1.70/1.43 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.17/1.23
+88% / -41% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / -7%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
332 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 277 · 76%
27.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.5
14.8 Crosses 20.0
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Kholood
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Al Wehda
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
0.50 xG 0.77
35% Ball Possession 65%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
200 Passes 406
79% Pass Accuracy 88%
13 Box Touches 15
8 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 4
19.09.2024 Al Wehda Al Wehda 0-1 HT 0-0 Al Kholood Al Kholood SUUD
08.03.2022 Al Wehda Al Wehda 2-0 HT 0-0 Al Kholood Al Kholood SUUD1
26.10.2021 Al Kholood Al Kholood 0-0 HT 0-0 Al Wehda Al Wehda SUUD1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Kholood
1-0
AWAY Al Wehda
2.31 xG 0.70
39% Ball Possession 61%
18 Total Shots 16
6 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 4
247 Passes 402
76% Pass Accuracy 81%
31 Box Touches 34
8 Crosses 31
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Al Kholood vs Al Wehda
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Kholood edged past Al Wehda 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Al Kholood as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Al Kholood had 39% of the ball to Al Wehda's 61%, shots finished 18-16, expected goals 2.31 to 0.70 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Al Kholood's control.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Al Kholood and 0.67 for Al Wehda.

What was the final score of Al Kholood vs Al Wehda?

Al Kholood 1-0 Al Wehda in the Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League on 22/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Kholood vs Al Wehda?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Kholood win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Al Kholood 41%, draw 27%, Al Wehda 32%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Kholood) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Al Kholood) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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