Al Taawon 2-2 Al Shabab Riyadh — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League, 22 Feb 2025

📅22/02/2025 · 🕒17:05 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
4.48
Draw
27%
3.8
Away
44%
1.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.07
Over 2.5
49%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.73
No
48%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.71
2-3 Goals
41%
1.79
4-5 Goals
22%
2.98
6+ Goals
10%
9.67
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.71 — our 27% vs market 20.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
9%
1/X
6%
X/1
11%
X/2
16%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
19%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
20%
+9.5pp
27%
Draw
23%
+3.8pp
44%
Away Win
57%
-13.3pp
51%
Under 2.5
44%
+7.1pp
49%
Over 2.5
56%
-7.1pp
52%
BTTS Yes
54%
-1.8pp
48%
BTTS No
46%
+1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Taawon EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Shabab Riyadh EU Bookmakers 61%
-8% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -7%
1.07/2.07 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.96/1.04
-17% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / -8%
41% Ball Possession 59%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
262 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 404 · 83%
16.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.2
13.4 Crosses 18.3
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Taawon
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Al Shabab Riyadh
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.41 xG 0.99
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 5
355 Passes 406
85% Pass Accuracy 86%
17 Box Touches 22
20 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
21.09.2024 Al Shabab Riyadh Al Shabab Riyadh 1-0 HT 1-0 Al Taawon Al Taawon SUUD
18.05.2024 Al Taawon Al Taawon 1-0 HT 0-0 Al Shabab Riyadh Al Shabab Riyadh SUUD
02.12.2023 Al Shabab Riyadh Al Shabab Riyadh 1-2 HT 1-0 Al Taawon Al Taawon SUUD
27.05.2023 Al Shabab Riyadh Al Shabab Riyadh 0-3 HT 0-1 Al Taawon Al Taawon SUUD
20.01.2023 Al Taawon Al Taawon 1-1 HT 0-1 Al Shabab Riyadh Al Shabab Riyadh SUUD
23.06.2022 Al Taawon Al Taawon 1-1 HT 0-1 Al Shabab Riyadh Al Shabab Riyadh SUUD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Taawon
2-2
AWAY Al Shabab Riyadh
2.03 xG 1.60
45% Ball Possession 55%
16 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 3
327 Passes 439
84% Pass Accuracy 89%
24 Box Touches 23
22 Crosses 19
1 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Al Taawon vs Al Shabab Riyadh
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Taawon and Al Shabab Riyadh shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 1-2.

Our pre-match lean was Al Shabab Riyadh at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Al Taawon had 45% of the ball to Al Shabab Riyadh's 55%, shots finished 16-7, expected goals 2.03 to 1.60.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Taawon had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Al Taawon and 0.67 for Al Shabab Riyadh.

What was the final score of Al Taawon vs Al Shabab Riyadh?

Al Taawon 2-2 Al Shabab Riyadh in the Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League on 22/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Taawon vs Al Shabab Riyadh?

Before kick-off our model rated an Al Shabab Riyadh win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Al Taawon 29%, draw 27%, Al Shabab Riyadh 44%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Al Shabab Riyadh), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Al Shabab Riyadh) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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