Al Shabab Riyadh 1-0 Al Taawon — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League, 21 Sep 2024

📅21/09/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.0
Draw
34%
3.28
Away
28%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.67
Over 2.5
42%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.9
No
57%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2.71
2-3 Goals
39%
1.77
4-5 Goals
21%
4.32
6+ Goals
7%
21.85
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
18%
X/2
8%
X/X
22%
2/1
5%
2/2
15%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
46%
-8.7pp
34%
Draw
27%
+6.7pp
28%
Away Win
26%
+2.0pp
58%
Under 2.5
56%
+2.1pp
42%
Over 2.5
44%
-2.1pp
43%
BTTS Yes
49%
-6.1pp
57%
BTTS No
51%
+6.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Shabab Riyadh EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Taawon EU Bookmakers 29%
-5% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +16%
1.53/1.13 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.31/1.41
-10% / +15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / +27%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
333 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 300 · 78%
24.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.0
22.2 Crosses 19.2
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Shabab Riyadh
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Al Taawon
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.07 xG 1.49
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
422 Passes 329
87% Pass Accuracy 83%
23 Box Touches 19
18 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
18.05.2024 Al Taawon Al Taawon 1-0 HT 0-0 Al Shabab Riyadh Al Shabab Riyadh SUUD
02.12.2023 Al Shabab Riyadh Al Shabab Riyadh 1-2 HT 1-0 Al Taawon Al Taawon SUUD
27.05.2023 Al Shabab Riyadh Al Shabab Riyadh 0-3 HT 0-1 Al Taawon Al Taawon SUUD
20.01.2023 Al Taawon Al Taawon 1-1 HT 0-1 Al Shabab Riyadh Al Shabab Riyadh SUUD
23.06.2022 Al Taawon Al Taawon 1-1 HT 0-1 Al Shabab Riyadh Al Shabab Riyadh SUUD
27.12.2021 Al Shabab Riyadh Al Shabab Riyadh 3-1 HT 2-1 Al Taawon Al Taawon SUUD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Shabab Riyadh
1-0
AWAY Al Taawon
1.30 xG 0.59
38% Ball Possession 62%
7 Total Shots 6
3 Shots on Target 3
1 Corners 5
259 Passes 436
79% Pass Accuracy 84%
15 Box Touches 9
3 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Al Shabab Riyadh vs Al Taawon
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Shabab Riyadh squeezed past Al Taawon 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 34% / 28% — and on the day Al Shabab Riyadh made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (57%) came in.

On the day, Al Shabab Riyadh had 38% of the ball to Al Taawon's 62%, shots finished 7-6, expected goals 1.30 to 0.59.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Taawon led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Al Shabab Riyadh and 1.50 for Al Taawon.

What was the final score of Al Shabab Riyadh vs Al Taawon?

Al Shabab Riyadh 1-0 Al Taawon in the Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League on 21/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Shabab Riyadh vs Al Taawon?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Shabab Riyadh win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Al Shabab Riyadh 38%, draw 34%, Al Taawon 28%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Shabab Riyadh), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Al Shabab Riyadh) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
SUUD More Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League
21 Sep 2024
18:35 Al Raed vs Al Riyadh Analysis →
21:00 Al Hilal Riyadh vs Al Ittihad-Jeddah Analysis →