Al Raed vs Al Riyadh Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Al Raed v Al Riyadh — Team-Based Signals
Al Raed vs Al Riyadh Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings
3-0
HT 2-0
Al Riyadh
SUUD
Al Raed 1-2 Al Riyadh — Actual Match Statistics
Al Riyadh nicked a narrow win over Al Raed 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 25% / 35% — and on the day Al Riyadh made the difference.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.
On the day, Al Raed had 42% of the ball to Al Riyadh's 58%, shots finished 9-18, expected goals 0.48 to 1.83 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Al Riyadh's control.
For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Al Raed had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Al Raed and 0.50 for Al Riyadh.
What was the final score of Al Raed vs Al Riyadh?
Al Raed 1-2 Al Riyadh in the Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League on 21/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Al Raed vs Al Riyadh?
Before kick-off our model rated a Al Raed win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Al Raed 40%, draw 25%, Al Riyadh 35%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.