Al Hilal Riyadh 3-1 Al Ittihad-Jeddah — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League, 21 Sep 2024

📅21/09/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
59%
1.61
Draw
25%
4.19
Away
16%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
34%
2.96
Over 2.5
66%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
63%
1.43
No
37%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
15%
7.01
2-3 Goals
35%
2.19
4-5 Goals
35%
2.46
6+ Goals
15%
4.83
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
12%
X/2
7%
X/X
12%
2/1
12%
2/2
5%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
59%
Home Win
57%
+1.5pp
26%
Draw
20%
+5.3pp
16%
Away Win
22%
-6.8pp
34%
Under 2.5
30%
+4.0pp
66%
Over 2.5
70%
-4.0pp
63%
BTTS Yes
66%
-3.2pp
37%
BTTS No
34%
+3.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Hilal Riyadh EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Ittihad-Jeddah EU Bookmakers 26%
+5% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +17% / +17%
2.04/0.97 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.11/1.61
+15% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / +68%
58% Ball Possession 42%
17 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
469 · 87% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 319 · 82%
32.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.2
25.6 Crosses 13.1
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Hilal Riyadh
6W-0D-0L
AWAY Al Ittihad-Jeddah
2.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.77 xG 1.15
58% Ball Possession 42%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
410 Passes 270
84% Pass Accuracy 77%
28 Box Touches 23
18 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 3
30.04.2024 Al Ittihad-Jeddah Al Ittihad-Jeddah 1-2 HT 0-1 Al Hilal Riyadh Al Hilal Riyadh SAKK
11.04.2024 Al Ittihad-Jeddah Al Ittihad-Jeddah 1-4 HT 1-2 Al Hilal Riyadh Al Hilal Riyadh SUUSK
12.03.2024 Al Ittihad-Jeddah Al Ittihad-Jeddah 0-2 HT 0-0 Al Hilal Riyadh Al Hilal Riyadh AŞMP
05.03.2024 Al Hilal Riyadh Al Hilal Riyadh 2-0 HT 2-0 Al Ittihad-Jeddah Al Ittihad-Jeddah AŞMP
01.03.2024 Al Hilal Riyadh Al Hilal Riyadh 3-1 HT 1-1 Al Ittihad-Jeddah Al Ittihad-Jeddah SUUD
01.09.2023 Al Ittihad-Jeddah Al Ittihad-Jeddah 3-4 HT 3-1 Al Hilal Riyadh Al Hilal Riyadh SUUD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Hilal Riyadh
3-1
AWAY Al Ittihad-Jeddah
2.41 xG 1.44
58% Ball Possession 42%
17 Total Shots 6
9 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 7
460 Passes 302
89% Pass Accuracy 84%
39 Box Touches 16
12 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Al Hilal Riyadh vs Al Ittihad-Jeddah
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Hilal Riyadh saw off Al Ittihad-Jeddah 3-1. Half-time: 3-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Al Hilal Riyadh as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (66%), both teams to score (63%) came in.

On the day, Al Hilal Riyadh had 58% of the ball to Al Ittihad-Jeddah's 42%, shots finished 17-6, expected goals 2.41 to 1.44.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Hilal Riyadh had the better of it with 6 wins. Those games averaged 2.83 goals for Al Hilal Riyadh and 1.00 for Al Ittihad-Jeddah.

What was the final score of Al Hilal Riyadh vs Al Ittihad-Jeddah?

Al Hilal Riyadh 3-1 Al Ittihad-Jeddah in the Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League on 21/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Hilal Riyadh vs Al Ittihad-Jeddah?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Hilal Riyadh win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Al Hilal Riyadh 59%, draw 26%, Al Ittihad-Jeddah 16%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Hilal Riyadh), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Al Hilal Riyadh) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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