Al Ittihad-Jeddah vs Al Hilal Riyadh Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Al Ittihad-Jeddah v Al Hilal Riyadh — Team-Based Signals
Al Ittihad-Jeddah vs Al Hilal Riyadh Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
3-4
HT 3-1
Al Hilal Riyadh
SUUD
2-2
HT 1-2
Al Ittihad-Jeddah
SUUD
0-1
HT 0-0
Al Hilal Riyadh
SAKK
Al Ittihad-Jeddah 1-4 Al Hilal Riyadh — Actual Match Statistics
Al Hilal Riyadh ran out comfortable winners over Al Ittihad-Jeddah 4-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As we said in the preview, our model had Al Hilal Riyadh as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.
On the day, Al Ittihad-Jeddah had 42% of the ball to Al Hilal Riyadh's 58%, shots finished 5-19, expected goals 1.32 to 2.71.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Hilal Riyadh led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Al Ittihad-Jeddah and 2.33 for Al Hilal Riyadh.
What was the final score of Al Ittihad-Jeddah vs Al Hilal Riyadh?
Al Ittihad-Jeddah 1-4 Al Hilal Riyadh in the Saudi Arabia Super Cup on 11/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Al Ittihad-Jeddah vs Al Hilal Riyadh?
Before kick-off our model rated an Al Hilal Riyadh win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Al Ittihad-Jeddah 29%, draw 21%, Al Hilal Riyadh 50%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Hilal Riyadh), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.