Al Ittihad-Jeddah 1-2 Al Hilal Riyadh — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia Copa del Rey, 30 Apr 2024

📅30/04/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
18%
5.91
Draw
19%
4.62
Away
63%
1.4
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
35%
2.59
Over 2.5
65%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.73
No
45%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
5.62
2-3 Goals
40%
2.02
4-5 Goals
30%
2.63
6+ Goals
12%
6.23
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
7%
1/X
4%
X/1
4%
X/2
19%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
37%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
18%
Home Win
14%
+4.2pp
19%
Draw
19%
+0.1pp
63%
Away Win
67%
-4.4pp
35%
Under 2.5
35%
+0.6pp
65%
Over 2.5
65%
-0.6pp
55%
BTTS Yes
54%
+1.6pp
45%
BTTS No
46%
-1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Ittihad-Jeddah EU Bookmakers 17%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Hilal Riyadh EU Bookmakers 71%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -15% / -15%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -57% / +57%
40% Ball Possession 60%
9 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 6
344 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 436 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 45.1
Crosses 30.8
Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Ittihad-Jeddah
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Al Hilal Riyadh
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.83
1.41 xG 1.83
39% Ball Possession 61%
10 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 7
252 Passes 454
76% Pass Accuracy 86%
21 Box Touches 30
14 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
11.04.2024 Al Ittihad-Jeddah Al Ittihad-Jeddah 1-4 HT 1-2 Al Hilal Riyadh Al Hilal Riyadh SUUSK
12.03.2024 Al Ittihad-Jeddah Al Ittihad-Jeddah 0-2 HT 0-0 Al Hilal Riyadh Al Hilal Riyadh AŞMP
05.03.2024 Al Hilal Riyadh Al Hilal Riyadh 2-0 HT 2-0 Al Ittihad-Jeddah Al Ittihad-Jeddah AŞMP
01.03.2024 Al Hilal Riyadh Al Hilal Riyadh 3-1 HT 1-1 Al Ittihad-Jeddah Al Ittihad-Jeddah SUUD
01.09.2023 Al Ittihad-Jeddah Al Ittihad-Jeddah 3-4 HT 3-1 Al Hilal Riyadh Al Hilal Riyadh SUUD
16.05.2023 Al Hilal Riyadh Al Hilal Riyadh 2-2 HT 1-2 Al Ittihad-Jeddah Al Ittihad-Jeddah SUUD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Ittihad-Jeddah
1-2
AWAY Al Hilal Riyadh
1.49 xG 1.82
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 3
323 Passes 253
82% Pass Accuracy 77%
35 Box Touches 14
28 Crosses 9
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Al Ittihad-Jeddah vs Al Hilal Riyadh
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Hilal Riyadh edged past Al Ittihad-Jeddah 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As we said in the preview, our model had Al Hilal Riyadh as the likeliest winner at 63%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (65%), both teams to score (55%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Al Ittihad-Jeddah had 55% of the ball to Al Hilal Riyadh's 45%, shots finished 13-9, expected goals 1.49 to 1.82.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Hilal Riyadh led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Al Ittihad-Jeddah and 2.83 for Al Hilal Riyadh.

What was the final score of Al Ittihad-Jeddah vs Al Hilal Riyadh?

Al Ittihad-Jeddah 1-2 Al Hilal Riyadh in the Saudi Arabia Copa del Rey on 30/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Ittihad-Jeddah vs Al Hilal Riyadh?

Before kick-off our model rated an Al Hilal Riyadh win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split Al Ittihad-Jeddah 18%, draw 19%, Al Hilal Riyadh 63%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Hilal Riyadh), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Al Hilal Riyadh) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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