Al Ittihad-Jeddah 4-1 Al Hilal Riyadh — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League, 22 Feb 2025

📅22/02/2025 · 🕒21:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.67
Draw
21%
3.72
Away
40%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
35%
2.63
Over 2.5
65%
1.44
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%
1.39
No
39%
2.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
5.92
2-3 Goals
34%
2.05
4-5 Goals
31%
2.43
6+ Goals
17%
5.07
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
9%
1/X
8%
X/1
17%
X/2
9%
X/X
7%
2/1
7%
2/2
22%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
34%
+5.6pp
21%
Draw
23%
-2.6pp
40%
Away Win
43%
-3.0pp
35%
Under 2.5
34%
+1.2pp
65%
Over 2.5
66%
-1.2pp
61%
BTTS Yes
68%
-7.1pp
39%
BTTS No
32%
+7.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Ittihad-Jeddah EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Hilal Riyadh EU Bookmakers 48%
-6% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +2%
1.40/1.50 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.51/1.31
+5% / -32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / +11%
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
322 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 387 · 84%
23.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 28.9
17.4 Crosses 20.1
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Ittihad-Jeddah
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Al Hilal Riyadh
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
1.21 xG 2.11
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
313 Passes 433
79% Pass Accuracy 84%
21 Box Touches 32
18 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
07.01.2025 Al Hilal Riyadh Al Hilal Riyadh 2-2 HT 0-0 Al Ittihad-Jeddah Al Ittihad-Jeddah SAKK
21.09.2024 Al Hilal Riyadh Al Hilal Riyadh 3-1 HT 3-0 Al Ittihad-Jeddah Al Ittihad-Jeddah SUUD
30.04.2024 Al Ittihad-Jeddah Al Ittihad-Jeddah 1-2 HT 0-1 Al Hilal Riyadh Al Hilal Riyadh SAKK
11.04.2024 Al Ittihad-Jeddah Al Ittihad-Jeddah 1-4 HT 1-2 Al Hilal Riyadh Al Hilal Riyadh SUUSK
12.03.2024 Al Ittihad-Jeddah Al Ittihad-Jeddah 0-2 HT 0-0 Al Hilal Riyadh Al Hilal Riyadh AŞMP
05.03.2024 Al Hilal Riyadh Al Hilal Riyadh 2-0 HT 2-0 Al Ittihad-Jeddah Al Ittihad-Jeddah AŞMP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Ittihad-Jeddah
4-1
AWAY Al Hilal Riyadh
1.91 xG 1.45
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 24
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 10
287 Passes 369
81% Pass Accuracy 86%
23 Box Touches 30
9 Crosses 32
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Al Ittihad-Jeddah vs Al Hilal Riyadh
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Ittihad-Jeddah ran out comfortable winners over Al Hilal Riyadh 4-1. Half-time: 2-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (39% / 21% / 40%) promised a tight game; Al Ittihad-Jeddah found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (65%), both teams to score (61%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Al Ittihad-Jeddah had 44% of the ball to Al Hilal Riyadh's 56%, shots finished 11-24, expected goals 1.91 to 1.45.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Hilal Riyadh led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Al Ittihad-Jeddah and 2.50 for Al Hilal Riyadh.

What was the final score of Al Ittihad-Jeddah vs Al Hilal Riyadh?

Al Ittihad-Jeddah 4-1 Al Hilal Riyadh in the Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League on 22/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Ittihad-Jeddah vs Al Hilal Riyadh?

Before kick-off our model rated an Al Hilal Riyadh win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Al Ittihad-Jeddah 39%, draw 21%, Al Hilal Riyadh 40%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Al Hilal Riyadh) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Al Hilal Riyadh) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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