Al Hilal Riyadh 2-2 Al Ittihad-Jeddah — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia Copa del Rey, 7 Jan 2025

📅07/01/2025 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.64
Draw
23%
3.8
Away
32%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.61
Over 2.5
56%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.46
No
46%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
5.86
2-3 Goals
40%
2.02
4-5 Goals
23%
2.44
6+ Goals
11%
5.21
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
18%
X/2
12%
X/X
11%
2/1
4%
2/2
16%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
57%
-11.3pp
23%
Draw
23%
-0.4pp
32%
Away Win
20%
+11.6pp
44%
Under 2.5
35%
+9.5pp
56%
Over 2.5
65%
-9.5pp
54%
BTTS Yes
64%
-10.6pp
46%
BTTS No
36%
+10.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Hilal Riyadh EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Ittihad-Jeddah EU Bookmakers 23%
-2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-25% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
407 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 285 · 77%
34.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
29.7 Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Hilal Riyadh
6W-0D-0L
AWAY Al Ittihad-Jeddah
2.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.89 xG 0.93
58% Ball Possession 42%
13 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
416 Passes 266
84% Pass Accuracy 77%
30 Box Touches 21
16 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
21.09.2024 Al Hilal Riyadh Al Hilal Riyadh 3-1 HT 3-0 Al Ittihad-Jeddah Al Ittihad-Jeddah SUUD
30.04.2024 Al Ittihad-Jeddah Al Ittihad-Jeddah 1-2 HT 0-1 Al Hilal Riyadh Al Hilal Riyadh SAKK
11.04.2024 Al Ittihad-Jeddah Al Ittihad-Jeddah 1-4 HT 1-2 Al Hilal Riyadh Al Hilal Riyadh SUUSK
12.03.2024 Al Ittihad-Jeddah Al Ittihad-Jeddah 0-2 HT 0-0 Al Hilal Riyadh Al Hilal Riyadh AŞMP
05.03.2024 Al Hilal Riyadh Al Hilal Riyadh 2-0 HT 2-0 Al Ittihad-Jeddah Al Ittihad-Jeddah AŞMP
01.03.2024 Al Hilal Riyadh Al Hilal Riyadh 3-1 HT 1-1 Al Ittihad-Jeddah Al Ittihad-Jeddah SUUD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Hilal Riyadh
2-2
AWAY Al Ittihad-Jeddah
3.53 xG 1.99
54% Ball Possession 46%
21 Total Shots 13
9 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 5
552 Passes 466
83% Pass Accuracy 83%
42 Box Touches 22
20 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Al Hilal Riyadh vs Al Ittihad-Jeddah
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Hilal Riyadh and Al Ittihad-Jeddah couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Al Hilal Riyadh at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

On the day, Al Hilal Riyadh had 54% of the ball to Al Ittihad-Jeddah's 46%, shots finished 21-13, expected goals 3.53 to 1.99.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Hilal Riyadh had the better of it with 6 wins. Those games averaged 2.67 goals for Al Hilal Riyadh and 0.67 for Al Ittihad-Jeddah.

What was the final score of Al Hilal Riyadh vs Al Ittihad-Jeddah?

Al Hilal Riyadh 2-2 Al Ittihad-Jeddah in the Saudi Arabia Copa del Rey on 07/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Hilal Riyadh vs Al Ittihad-Jeddah?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Hilal Riyadh win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Al Hilal Riyadh 46%, draw 23%, Al Ittihad-Jeddah 32%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Al Hilal Riyadh) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Al Hilal Riyadh) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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