Antalyaspor 2-1 Kasımpaşa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Super League, 22 Feb 2025

📅22/02/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.27
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
35%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.97
Over 2.5
53%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.63
No
45%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.57
2-3 Goals
39%
1.79
4-5 Goals
24%
3.17
6+ Goals
13%
10.95
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
3.37
1/2
7%
28.0
1/X
7%
12.4
X/1
15%
5.5
X/2
10%
6.22
X/X
15%
4.84
2/1 EV+ ✗
9%
25.5
2/2
17%
4.08
2/X
7%
12.6
Value flag · 2/1 at 25.5 — our 9% vs market 1.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
40%
-2.5pp
27%
Draw
27%
+0.5pp
35%
Away Win
33%
+2.0pp
47%
Under 2.5
47%
+0.3pp
53%
Over 2.5
53%
-0.3pp
55%
BTTS Yes
57%
-2.2pp
45%
BTTS No
43%
+2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Antalyaspor EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Kasımpaşa EU Bookmakers 37%
+7% / +17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -1%
1.41/1.20 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.39/1.60
+6% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / +3%
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
305 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 333 · 79%
20.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.5
19.3 Crosses 21.2
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Antalyaspor
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Kasımpaşa
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.43 xG 1.74
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
362 Passes 299
81% Pass Accuracy 78%
23 Box Touches 24
22 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
22.09.2024 Kasımpaşa Kasımpaşa 0-0 HT 0-0 Antalyaspor Antalyaspor TSL
12.05.2024 Kasımpaşa Kasımpaşa 3-1 HT 2-0 Antalyaspor Antalyaspor TSL
20.12.2023 Antalyaspor Antalyaspor 0-0 HT 0-0 Kasımpaşa Kasımpaşa TSL
06.03.2023 Kasımpaşa Kasımpaşa 3-1 HT 2-1 Antalyaspor Antalyaspor TSL
04.09.2022 Antalyaspor Antalyaspor 0-2 HT 0-1 Kasımpaşa Kasımpaşa TSL
15.05.2022 Kasımpaşa Kasımpaşa 2-4 HT 1-1 Antalyaspor Antalyaspor TSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Antalyaspor
2-1
AWAY Kasımpaşa
1.29 xG 1.26
43% Ball Possession 57%
9 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
218 Passes 323
68% Pass Accuracy 77%
11 Box Touches 10
11 Crosses 19
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Antalyaspor vs Kasımpaşa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Antalyaspor nicked a narrow win over Kasımpaşa 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.

Our pre-match split (38% / 27% / 35%) promised a tight game; Antalyaspor found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged both teams to score (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Antalyaspor had 43% of the ball to Kasımpaşa's 57%, shots finished 9-11, expected goals 1.29 to 1.26.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kasımpaşa led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Antalyaspor and 1.67 for Kasımpaşa.

What was the final score of Antalyaspor vs Kasımpaşa?

Antalyaspor 2-1 Kasımpaşa in the Turkey - Super League on 22/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Antalyaspor vs Kasımpaşa?

Before kick-off our model rated a Antalyaspor win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Antalyaspor 38%, draw 27%, Kasımpaşa 35%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Antalyaspor), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Antalyaspor) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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