Samsunspor 2-3 Çaykur Rizespor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Super League, 22 Feb 2025

📅22/02/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.19
Draw
32%
3.11
Away
26%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.71
Over 2.5
48%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.82
No
50%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.75
2-3 Goals
42%
1.74
4-5 Goals
22%
3.96
6+ Goals
8%
18.55
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
3.29
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
9%
12.9
X/1
15%
5.07
X/2
9%
6.41
X/X
15%
4.16
2/1
7%
28.5
2/2
12%
4.74
2/X
9%
13.35
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
42%
+0.0pp
32%
Draw
29%
+3.9pp
26%
Away Win
30%
-3.9pp
52%
Under 2.5
55%
-2.6pp
48%
Over 2.5
45%
+2.6pp
50%
BTTS Yes
51%
-0.6pp
50%
BTTS No
49%
+0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Samsunspor EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Çaykur Rizespor EU Bookmakers 33%
+13% / +20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -23%
1.55/0.75 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.13/1.48
+1% / +50% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -21% / -17%
47% Ball Possession 53%
14 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
281 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 344 · 78%
20.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.2
18.0 Crosses 19.1
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Samsunspor
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Çaykur Rizespor
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.15 xG 0.86
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
266 Passes 305
76% Pass Accuracy 78%
23 Box Touches 22
17 Crosses 22
3 Yellow Cards 3
22.09.2024 Çaykur Rizespor Çaykur Rizespor 0-1 HT 0-0 Samsunspor Samsunspor TSL
23.02.2024 Samsunspor Samsunspor 3-0 HT 1-0 Çaykur Rizespor Çaykur Rizespor TSL
08.10.2023 Çaykur Rizespor Çaykur Rizespor 1-0 HT 0-0 Samsunspor Samsunspor TSL
04.03.2023 Samsunspor Samsunspor 2-0 HT 0-0 Çaykur Rizespor Çaykur Rizespor T1L
11.09.2022 Çaykur Rizespor Çaykur Rizespor 1-1 HT 1-1 Samsunspor Samsunspor T1L
17.12.2019 Samsunspor Samsunspor 1-1 HT 0-0 Çaykur Rizespor Çaykur Rizespor TÜK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Samsunspor
2-3
AWAY Çaykur Rizespor
0.74 xG 1.02
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
1 Corners 5
255 Passes 311
71% Pass Accuracy 76%
8 Box Touches 24
13 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Samsunspor vs Çaykur Rizespor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Çaykur Rizespor nicked a narrow win over Samsunspor 3-2 away from home. It was 2-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Samsunspor at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Samsunspor had 47% of the ball to Çaykur Rizespor's 53%, shots finished 9-12, expected goals 0.74 to 1.02.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Samsunspor had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Samsunspor and 0.50 for Çaykur Rizespor.

What was the final score of Samsunspor vs Çaykur Rizespor?

Samsunspor 2-3 Çaykur Rizespor in the Turkey - Super League on 22/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Samsunspor vs Çaykur Rizespor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Samsunspor win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Samsunspor 42%, draw 32%, Çaykur Rizespor 26%. The final score 2-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Samsunspor) ✗ Under 2.5
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