Estudiantes De Merida 1-0 Rayo Zuliano — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Venezuela - Premier League, 22 Feb 2025

📅22/02/2025 · 🕒00:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.86
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
28%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.91
Over 2.5
50%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.73
No
50%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
17%
X/2
10%
X/X
10%
2/1
13%
2/2
10%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
50%
-1.7pp
24%
Draw
26%
-2.1pp
28%
Away Win
24%
+3.9pp
50%
Under 2.5
48%
+1.9pp
50%
Over 2.5
52%
-2.0pp
50%
BTTS Yes
54%
-4.2pp
50%
BTTS No
46%
+4.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Estudiantes De Merida EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Rayo Zuliano EU Bookmakers 27%
+10% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +3%
1.76/0.82 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.84/1.20
+37% / +18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +27% / -16%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
333 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 284 · 78%
22.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.0
19.2 Crosses 18.9
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Estudiantes De Merida
1W-0D-3L
AWAY Rayo Zuliano
1.25 Avg Goals (FT) 1.75
1.32 xG 0.92
60% Ball Possession 40%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 2
353 Passes 193
80% Pass Accuracy 70%
18 Box Touches 13
21 Crosses 13
3 Yellow Cards 4
19.10.2024 Rayo Zuliano Rayo Zuliano 2-1 Estudiantes De Merida Estudiantes De Merida VEN
19.04.2024 Estudiantes De Merida Estudiantes De Merida 2-1 HT 0-1 Rayo Zuliano Rayo Zuliano VEN
27.08.2023 Rayo Zuliano Rayo Zuliano 2-1 HT 1-1 Estudiantes De Merida Estudiantes De Merida VEN
11.03.2023 Estudiantes De Merida Estudiantes De Merida 1-2 HT 0-1 Rayo Zuliano Rayo Zuliano VEN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Estudiantes De Merida
1-0
AWAY Rayo Zuliano
0.91 xG 0.30
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
284 Passes 242
80% Pass Accuracy 80%
7 Box Touches 11
7 Crosses 13
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Estudiantes De Merida vs Rayo Zuliano
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Estudiantes De Merida nicked a narrow win over Rayo Zuliano 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Estudiantes De Merida as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Estudiantes De Merida had 51% of the ball to Rayo Zuliano's 49%, shots finished 11-7, expected goals 0.91 to 0.30.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Rayo Zuliano led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.25 goals for Estudiantes De Merida and 1.75 for Rayo Zuliano.

What was the final score of Estudiantes De Merida vs Rayo Zuliano?

Estudiantes De Merida 1-0 Rayo Zuliano in the Venezuela - Premier League on 22/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Estudiantes De Merida vs Rayo Zuliano?

Before kick-off our model rated a Estudiantes De Merida win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Estudiantes De Merida 48%, draw 24%, Rayo Zuliano 28%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Estudiantes De Merida) — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Estudiantes De Merida)
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