Basconia 2-1 Amorebieta — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 22 Feb 2026

📅22/02/2026 · 🕒13:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.25
Draw
29%
3.04
Away
30%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.56
Over 2.5
45%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.96
No
47%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
20%
X/2
14%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
11%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
41%
+0.1pp
29%
Draw
30%
-0.1pp
30%
Away Win
30%
-0.0pp
55%
Under 2.5
60%
-5.3pp
45%
Over 2.5
40%
+5.3pp
53%
BTTS Yes
47%
+5.7pp
47%
BTTS No
53%
-5.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Basconia EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Amorebieta EU Bookmakers 33%
-5% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +12%
1.65/0.97 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.19/0.84
+35% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / +34%
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
317 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 318 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Basconia
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Amorebieta
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
61% Ball Possession 39%
12 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 3
0 Yellow Cards 3
05.10.2025 Amorebieta Amorebieta 2-1 HT 0-0 Basconia İS4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Basconia
2-1
AWAY Amorebieta
57% Ball Possession 43%
12 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 3
POST-MATCH Basconia vs Amorebieta
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Basconia edged past Amorebieta 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Basconia as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Basconia had 57% of the ball to Amorebieta's 43%, shots finished 12-7.

What was the final score of Basconia vs Amorebieta?

Basconia 2-1 Amorebieta in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 22/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Basconia vs Amorebieta?

Before kick-off our model rated a Basconia win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Basconia 41%, draw 29%, Amorebieta 30%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Basconia), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Basconia) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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