Melilla 0-1 Real Jaen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 22 Feb 2026

📅22/02/2026 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.05
Draw
30%
2.94
Away
24%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
Over 2.5
40%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.16
No
56%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
16%
X/2
7%
X/X
16%
2/1
8%
2/2
11%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
45%
+1.5pp
30%
Draw
30%
-0.5pp
24%
Away Win
25%
-1.0pp
44%
BTTS Yes
42%
+2.1pp
56%
BTTS No
58%
-2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Melilla EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Real Jaen EU Bookmakers 29%
-1% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +2%
1.39/0.97 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.98/1.37
+6% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / -11%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
318 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 258 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
4.0 Yellow Cards 3.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Melilla
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Real Jaen
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
12.10.2025 Real Jaen Real Jaen 1-1 HT 1-0 Melilla Melilla İS4
POST-MATCH Melilla vs Real Jaen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Real Jaen nicked a narrow win over Melilla 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Melilla at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (56%), and both reads landed as well.

What was the final score of Melilla vs Real Jaen?

Melilla 0-1 Real Jaen in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 22/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Melilla vs Real Jaen?

Before kick-off our model rated a Melilla win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Melilla 46%, draw 30%, Real Jaen 24%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Melilla) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Melilla) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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