Fiorentina (K) 3-2 Sassuolo (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italya - Women's Serie A, 22 Feb 2026

Fiorentina (K)
3-2 HT 0-0
Sassuolo (K)
📅22/02/2026 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
Italya - Women's Serie A – 2025/2026

Fiorentina (K) vs Sassuolo (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
60%
1.49
Draw
20%
4.08
Away
20%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under
47%
2.0
Over
53%
1.77
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.84
No
50%
1.84
Total Goals
0-1
24%
2-3
41%
4-5
24%
6+
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
18%
X/2
9%
X/X
10%
2/1
10%
2/2
8%
2/X
4%
STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.

Fiorentina (K) v Sassuolo (K) — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik model signals — not real match figures
HOME Fiorentina (K) The Market 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Sassuolo (K) The Market 20%
Average Season vs Marketall history · vs bookmaker expectation Strong
Average Recent Form vs Marketlatest matches · vs bookmaker expectation Strong
1.55 Expected Goals Scoredper match · higher is better 1.20
1.17 Expected Goals Concededper match · lower is better 1.72
Strong Attackvs comparable teams Great
Bad Defensevs comparable teams Bad
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
352 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 246 · 71%
28.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.7
22.2 Crosses 13.6
1.3 Yellow Cards 1.4

Fiorentina (K) vs Sassuolo (K) Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fiorentina (K)
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Sassuolo (K)
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.70 xG 1.02
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
371 Passes 246
78% Pass Accuracy 72%
25 Box Touches 14
24 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
02.11.2025 Sassuolo (K) Sassuolo (K) 0-1 HT 0-1 Fiorentina (K) Fiorentina (K) İTKSA
19.01.2025 Fiorentina (K) Fiorentina (K) 1-1 HT 1-1 Sassuolo (K) Sassuolo (K) İTKSA
12.10.2024 Sassuolo (K) Sassuolo (K) 1-3 HT 1-0 Fiorentina (K) Fiorentina (K) İTKSA
27.04.2024 Fiorentina (K) Fiorentina (K) 4-4 HT 4-1 Sassuolo (K) Sassuolo (K) İTKSA
16.03.2024 Sassuolo (K) Sassuolo (K) 1-0 HT 0-0 Fiorentina (K) Fiorentina (K) İTKSA
11.12.2023 Sassuolo (K) Sassuolo (K) 1-2 HT 0-0 Fiorentina (K) Fiorentina (K) İTKSA

Fiorentina (K) 3-2 Sassuolo (K) — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fiorentina (K)
3-2
AWAY Sassuolo (K)
1.56 xG 1.24
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
310 Passes 267
78% Pass Accuracy 77%
25 Box Touches 16
17 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 4
REVIEW Fiorentina (K) vs Sassuolo (K)
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Fiorentina (K) nicked a narrow win over Sassuolo (K) 3-2. It stood 0-0 at the interval — everything that mattered happened after the restart. With 5 goals, entertainment was never the problem.

The way our numbers pointed is the way it went: our model had Fiorentina (K) as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.

No strong lean on goals — the model had over 2.5 at 53% and both teams to score at 50%, coin-flips both.

By the numbers, Fiorentina (K) had 53% of the ball to Sassuolo (K)'s 47%, shots finished 13-9, expected goals 1.56 to 1.24.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Fiorentina (K) had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Fiorentina (K) and 1.33 for Sassuolo (K).

Fiorentina (K) vs Sassuolo (K) Result & Final Score

Fiorentina (K) 3-2 Sassuolo (K) in the Italya - Women's Serie A on 22/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Fiorentina (K) vs Sassuolo (K) Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Fiorentina (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Fiorentina (K) 60%, draw 20%, Sassuolo (K) 20%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Fiorentina (K)), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Fiorentina (K)) ✓ Over 2.5
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