U. Catolica 3-1 Coquimbo Unido — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Chile - Premier League, 22 Feb 2026

📅22/02/2026 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
2.0
Draw
27%
3.11
Away
22%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.62
Over 2.5
46%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.96
No
48%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
8%
1/X
5%
X/1
19%
X/2
8%
X/X
13%
2/1
11%
2/2
6%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 54%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win Under 2.5 BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
46%
+4.7pp
27%
Draw
29%
-1.6pp
22%
Away Win
25%
-3.1pp
54%
Under 2.5
58%
-4.0pp
46%
Over 2.5
42%
+4.0pp
52%
BTTS Yes
47%
+5.0pp
48%
BTTS No
53%
-5.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME U. Catolica EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Coquimbo Unido EU Bookmakers 29%
+0% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +16%
1.47/0.97 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.22/1.41
+24% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +24% / +13%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
300 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 264 · 74%
19.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.0
19.8 Crosses 19.9
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME U. Catolica
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Coquimbo Unido
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.73 xG 1.32
58% Ball Possession 42%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
318 Passes 202
78% Pass Accuracy 70%
15 Box Touches 20
19 Crosses 22
3 Yellow Cards 2
26.01.2026 U. Catolica 0-0 HT 0-0 Coquimbo Unido Coquimbo Unido ŞİLİSK
27.07.2025 U. Catolica 0-3 HT 0-2 Coquimbo Unido Coquimbo Unido ŞİL
23.02.2025 Coquimbo Unido Coquimbo Unido 1-0 HT 0-0 U. Catolica ŞİL
10.11.2024 U. Catolica 1-2 HT 0-1 Coquimbo Unido Coquimbo Unido ŞİL
03.06.2024 Coquimbo Unido Coquimbo Unido 2-0 HT 2-0 U. Catolica ŞİL
24.07.2023 U. Catolica 2-1 HT 1-0 Coquimbo Unido Coquimbo Unido ŞİL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME U. Catolica
3-1
AWAY Coquimbo Unido
1.98 xG 2.35
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 4
1 Corners 5
365 Passes 238
82% Pass Accuracy 75%
25 Box Touches 15
23 Crosses 16
5 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH U. Catolica vs Coquimbo Unido
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

U. Catolica saw off Coquimbo Unido 3-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had U. Catolica as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, U. Catolica had 58% of the ball to Coquimbo Unido's 42%, shots finished 14-9, expected goals 1.98 to 2.35.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Coquimbo Unido led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for U. Catolica and 1.50 for Coquimbo Unido.

What was the final score of U. Catolica vs Coquimbo Unido?

U. Catolica 3-1 Coquimbo Unido in the Chile - Premier League on 22/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for U. Catolica vs Coquimbo Unido?

Before kick-off our model rated a U. Catolica win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split U. Catolica 51%, draw 27%, Coquimbo Unido 22%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (U. Catolica), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (U. Catolica) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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