Randers FC 1-2 FC Fredericia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark - Süperlig, 22 Feb 2026

📅22/02/2026 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.64
Draw
20%
3.8
Away
22%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
2.21
Over 2.5
61%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.63
No
41%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
4.18
2-3 Goals
38%
1.84
4-5 Goals
28%
2.86
6+ Goals
14%
8.43
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
36%
2.07
1/2
7%
34.0
1/X
4%
13.95
X/1
14%
4.3
X/2
5%
9.83
X/X
11%
5.86
2/1
8%
20.5
2/2
10%
7.32
2/X
5%
15.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
56%
+1.9pp
20%
Draw
23%
-2.9pp
22%
Away Win
21%
+1.1pp
39%
Under 2.5
41%
-2.7pp
61%
Over 2.5
59%
+2.7pp
59%
BTTS Yes
57%
+2.2pp
41%
BTTS No
43%
-2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Randers FC EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Fredericia EU Bookmakers 24%
+2% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +9%
1.92/0.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.20/2.47
-25% / +42% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +51% / -14%
53% Ball Possession 47%
16 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
407 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 338 · 78%
29.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.2
18.9 Crosses 13.3
1.1 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Randers FC
0W-0D-1L
AWAY FC Fredericia
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.63 xG 0.44
57% Ball Possession 43%
18 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 5
11 Corners 3
457 Passes 337
87% Pass Accuracy 81%
57 Box Touches 14
31 Crosses 12
3 Yellow Cards 1
24.08.2025 FC Fredericia FC Fredericia 1-0 HT 1-0 Randers FC Randers FC DAN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Randers FC
1-2
AWAY FC Fredericia
1.96 xG 2.12
59% Ball Possession 41%
27 Total Shots 17
6 Shots on Target 6
14 Corners 3
435 Passes 304
83% Pass Accuracy 81%
48 Box Touches 23
37 Crosses 7
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Randers FC vs FC Fredericia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Fredericia squeezed past Randers FC 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Randers FC at 58% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (61%), both teams to score (59%) came in.

On the day, Randers FC had 59% of the ball to FC Fredericia's 41%, shots finished 27-17, expected goals 1.96 to 2.12.

What was the final score of Randers FC vs FC Fredericia?

Randers FC 1-2 FC Fredericia in the Denmark - Süperlig on 22/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Randers FC vs FC Fredericia?

Before kick-off our model rated a Randers FC win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Randers FC 58%, draw 20%, FC Fredericia 22%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Randers FC) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Randers FC) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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