AGF Aarhus 5-2 Viborg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark - Süperlig, 22 Feb 2026

📅22/02/2026 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.75
Draw
25%
3.72
Away
20%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.1
Over 2.5
50%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.68
No
43%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.84
2-3 Goals
42%
1.8
4-5 Goals
22%
3.0
6+ Goals
10%
9.66
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
2.21
1/2
7%
34.0
1/X
5%
13.65
X/1
15%
4.36
X/2
7%
9.02
X/X
11%
5.48
2/1
8%
21.4
2/2
6%
6.77
2/X
9%
14.95
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
54%
+1.7pp
25%
Draw
24%
+0.8pp
19%
Away Win
22%
-2.6pp
50%
Under 2.5
44%
+6.5pp
50%
Over 2.5
56%
-6.5pp
57%
BTTS Yes
56%
+1.2pp
43%
BTTS No
44%
-1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME AGF Aarhus EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Viborg EU Bookmakers 25%
+3% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -34%
2.05/0.90 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.98/1.51
-9% / +31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -21% / -4%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
435 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 333 · 78%
28.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.1
26.6 Crosses 16.1
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME AGF Aarhus
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Viborg
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.73 xG 1.21
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
353 Passes 334
81% Pass Accuracy 79%
23 Box Touches 17
26 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 2
14.09.2025 Viborg Viborg 1-2 HT 1-2 AGF Aarhus AGF Aarhus DAN
09.03.2025 AGF Aarhus AGF Aarhus 1-1 HT 0-0 Viborg Viborg DAN
06.10.2024 Viborg Viborg 1-1 HT 1-0 AGF Aarhus AGF Aarhus DAN
12.11.2023 AGF Aarhus AGF Aarhus 2-0 HT 0-0 Viborg Viborg DAN
01.10.2023 Viborg Viborg 2-1 HT 1-0 AGF Aarhus AGF Aarhus DAN
12.07.2023 Viborg Viborg 0-0 AGF Aarhus AGF Aarhus HAZ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME AGF Aarhus
5-2
AWAY Viborg
1.71 xG 1.73
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 11
9 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 1
427 Passes 319
88% Pass Accuracy 83%
30 Box Touches 23
19 Crosses 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH AGF Aarhus vs Viborg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

AGF Aarhus swept aside Viborg 5-2. Half-time: 1-0. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had AGF Aarhus as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 5-2 landed on that lead. We had also flagged both teams to score (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, AGF Aarhus had 57% of the ball to Viborg's 43%, shots finished 15-11, expected goals 1.71 to 1.73.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, AGF Aarhus had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for AGF Aarhus and 0.83 for Viborg.

What was the final score of AGF Aarhus vs Viborg?

AGF Aarhus 5-2 Viborg in the Denmark - Süperlig on 22/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for AGF Aarhus vs Viborg?

Before kick-off our model rated a AGF Aarhus win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split AGF Aarhus 55%, draw 25%, Viborg 19%. The final score 5-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (AGF Aarhus), BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (AGF Aarhus) ✓ BTTS Yes
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