Viborg 1-2 AGF Aarhus — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark - Süperlig, 14 Sep 2025

Viborg
1-2 HT 1-2
AGF Aarhus
📅14/09/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✓ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Denmark - Süperlig – 2025/2026

Viborg vs AGF Aarhus Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.67
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
42%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.03
Over 2.5
55%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%
1.6
No
39%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
3.9
2-3 Goals
39%
1.85
4-5 Goals
26%
3.16
6+ Goals
12%
10.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
4.22
1/2 EV+ ✗
8%
24.1
1/X
4%
12.6
X/1
11%
6.43
X/2
16%
5.32
X/X
17%
4.95
2/1
7%
28.5
2/2
18%
3.16
2/X
4%
12.25
Value flag · 1/2 at 24.1 — our 8% vs market 2.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
34%
-0.7pp
25%
Draw
26%
-0.7pp
42%
Away Win
40%
+1.3pp
45%
Under 2.5
45%
-0.4pp
55%
Over 2.5
55%
+0.4pp
61%
BTTS Yes
58%
+2.5pp
39%
BTTS No
42%
-2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Viborg v AGF Aarhus — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Viborg EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY AGF Aarhus EU Bookmakers 45%
-7% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +6%
1.34/1.62 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.27/1.12
-3% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / +44%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
359 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 336 · 79%
23.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.1
17.9 Crosses 21.5
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.9

Viborg vs AGF Aarhus Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Viborg
1W-3D-2L
AWAY AGF Aarhus
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.04 xG 1.66
46% Ball Possession 55%
7 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 5
309 Passes 367
78% Pass Accuracy 81%
16 Box Touches 25
12 Crosses 27
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
09.03.2025 AGF Aarhus AGF Aarhus 1-1 HT 0-0 Viborg Viborg DAN
06.10.2024 Viborg Viborg 1-1 HT 1-0 AGF Aarhus AGF Aarhus DAN
12.11.2023 AGF Aarhus AGF Aarhus 2-0 HT 0-0 Viborg Viborg DAN
01.10.2023 Viborg Viborg 2-1 HT 1-0 AGF Aarhus AGF Aarhus DAN
12.07.2023 Viborg Viborg 0-0 AGF Aarhus AGF Aarhus HAZ
07.05.2023 AGF Aarhus AGF Aarhus 3-0 HT 1-0 Viborg Viborg DAN

Viborg 1-2 AGF Aarhus — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Viborg
1-2
AWAY AGF Aarhus
1.80 xG 2.36
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 14
7 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 4
400 Passes 359
83% Pass Accuracy 83%
24 Box Touches 18
17 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 3
FAQ Viborg vs AGF Aarhus
Match summary & frequently asked questions

AGF Aarhus edged past Viborg 2-1 away from home in the Denmark - Süperlig on 14 Sep 2025.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 55% and both teams to score was favoured at 61%.

On the day, Viborg had 52% of the ball to AGF Aarhus's 48%, shots finished 14-14, expected goals 1.80 to 2.36.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, AGF Aarhus lead the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Viborg and 1.33 for AGF Aarhus.

What was the final score of Viborg vs AGF Aarhus?

Viborg 1-2 AGF Aarhus in the Denmark - Süperlig on 14/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Viborg vs AGF Aarhus?

Before kick-off our model rated an AGF Aarhus win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Viborg 33%, draw 25%, AGF Aarhus 42%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (AGF Aarhus), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (AGF Aarhus) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
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