FC Nordsjaelland 1-0 Midtjylland — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark - Süperlig, 14 Sep 2025

📅14/09/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.67
Draw
22%
3.54
Away
44%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.51
Over 2.5
59%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.43
No
42%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
5.39
2-3 Goals
38%
2.01
4-5 Goals
25%
2.67
6+ Goals
15%
6.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
4.06
1/2
6%
21.4
1/X
7%
12.2
X/1
9%
6.79
X/2
13%
5.54
X/X
11%
5.76
2/1 EV+ ✗
8%
25.5
2/2
25%
2.97
2/X
4%
11.9
Value flag · 2/1 at 25.5 — our 8% vs market 1.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
33%
+1.1pp
22%
Draw
24%
-2.8pp
44%
Away Win
42%
+1.8pp
41%
Under 2.5
36%
+5.0pp
59%
Over 2.5
64%
-5.0pp
58%
BTTS Yes
66%
-7.7pp
42%
BTTS No
34%
+7.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Nordsjaelland EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Midtjylland EU Bookmakers 46%
+8% / +26% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +9%
1.83/1.36 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.72/1.30
+32% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / +3%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
360 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 353 · 79%
31.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.7
15.4 Crosses 17.3
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Nordsjaelland
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Midtjylland
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.67
2.03 xG 1.83
58% Ball Possession 42%
12 Total Shots 18
7 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 7
489 Passes 326
86% Pass Accuracy 81%
30 Box Touches 37
11 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 1
27.04.2025 Midtjylland Midtjylland 5-0 HT 4-0 FC Nordsjaelland FC Nordsjaelland DAN
22.04.2025 FC Nordsjaelland FC Nordsjaelland 3-2 HT 1-1 Midtjylland Midtjylland DAN
02.03.2025 Midtjylland Midtjylland 2-1 HT 0-0 FC Nordsjaelland FC Nordsjaelland DAN
27.07.2024 FC Nordsjaelland FC Nordsjaelland 2-2 HT 2-2 Midtjylland Midtjylland DAN
20.05.2024 FC Nordsjaelland FC Nordsjaelland 3-3 HT 3-2 Midtjylland Midtjylland DAN
01.04.2024 Midtjylland Midtjylland 2-3 HT 0-1 FC Nordsjaelland FC Nordsjaelland DAN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Nordsjaelland
1-0
AWAY Midtjylland
1.55 xG 0.33
58% Ball Possession 42%
15 Total Shots 5
5 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 1
556 Passes 375
88% Pass Accuracy 83%
41 Box Touches 11
11 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 2
FAQ FC Nordsjaelland vs Midtjylland
Match summary & frequently asked questions

FC Nordsjaelland edged past Midtjylland 1-0 in the Denmark - Süperlig on 14 Sep 2025.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 59% and both teams to score was close to even at 58%.

On the day, FC Nordsjaelland had 58% of the ball to Midtjylland's 42%, shots finished 15-5, expected goals 1.55 to 0.33.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours are even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for FC Nordsjaelland and 2.67 for Midtjylland.

What was the final score of FC Nordsjaelland vs Midtjylland?

FC Nordsjaelland 1-0 Midtjylland in the Denmark - Süperlig on 14/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Nordsjaelland vs Midtjylland?

Before kick-off our model rated an Midtjylland win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split FC Nordsjaelland 35%, draw 22%, Midtjylland 44%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Midtjylland) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
DAN More Denmark - Süperlig
14 Sep 2025
15:00 Viborg vs AGF Aarhus Analysis →
19:00 Silkeborg IF vs Odense Analysis →