Midtjylland 2-1 FC Nordsjaelland — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark - Süperlig, 2 Mar 2025

📅02/03/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.02
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
30%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.07
Over 2.5
56%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.6
No
44%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
4.1
2-3 Goals
43%
1.88
4-5 Goals
24%
3.11
6+ Goals
11%
9.89
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
2.83
1/2
6%
31.0
1/X
10%
12.1
X/1
9%
5.12
X/2
10%
7.26
X/X
8%
5.06
2/1 EV+ ✗
8%
23.0
2/2
14%
4.89
2/X
9%
12.75
Value flag · 2/1 at 23.0 — our 8% vs market 2.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
45%
-1.7pp
27%
Draw
26%
+0.7pp
30%
Away Win
29%
+0.9pp
44%
Under 2.5
44%
-0.6pp
56%
Over 2.5
56%
+0.6pp
56%
BTTS Yes
58%
-2.5pp
44%
BTTS No
42%
+2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Midtjylland EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Nordsjaelland EU Bookmakers 32%
+5% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -10%
1.53/1.33 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.37/1.40
+30% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +19% / -18%
46% Ball Possession 54%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
300 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 366 · 80%
26.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.3
19.3 Crosses 14.6
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Midtjylland
1W-3D-2L
AWAY FC Nordsjaelland
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.20 xG 1.51
41% Ball Possession 59%
13 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
328 Passes 521
80% Pass Accuracy 85%
24 Box Touches 25
18 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 2
27.07.2024 FC Nordsjaelland FC Nordsjaelland 2-2 HT 2-2 Midtjylland Midtjylland DAN
20.05.2024 FC Nordsjaelland FC Nordsjaelland 3-3 HT 3-2 Midtjylland Midtjylland DAN
01.04.2024 Midtjylland Midtjylland 2-3 HT 0-1 FC Nordsjaelland FC Nordsjaelland DAN
12.11.2023 Midtjylland Midtjylland 2-0 HT 0-0 FC Nordsjaelland FC Nordsjaelland DAN
27.08.2023 FC Nordsjaelland FC Nordsjaelland 3-0 HT 1-0 Midtjylland Midtjylland DAN
07.11.2022 Midtjylland Midtjylland 0-0 HT 0-0 FC Nordsjaelland FC Nordsjaelland DAN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Midtjylland
2-1
AWAY FC Nordsjaelland
1.35 xG 1.85
48% Ball Possession 52%
19 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 7
8 Corners 4
373 Passes 415
81% Pass Accuracy 81%
48 Box Touches 21
24 Crosses 7
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Midtjylland vs FC Nordsjaelland
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Midtjylland edged past FC Nordsjaelland 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Midtjylland as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (56%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Midtjylland had 48% of the ball to FC Nordsjaelland's 52%, shots finished 19-12, expected goals 1.35 to 1.85 — on chances, FC Nordsjaelland could feel hard done by.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, FC Nordsjaelland led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Midtjylland and 1.83 for FC Nordsjaelland.

What was the final score of Midtjylland vs FC Nordsjaelland?

Midtjylland 2-1 FC Nordsjaelland in the Denmark - Süperlig on 02/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Midtjylland vs FC Nordsjaelland?

Before kick-off our model rated a Midtjylland win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Midtjylland 44%, draw 27%, FC Nordsjaelland 30%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Midtjylland), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Midtjylland) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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