FC Nordsjaelland 2-2 Midtjylland — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark - Süperlig, 27 Jul 2024

FC Nordsjaelland
2-2 HT 2-2
Midtjylland
📅27/07/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✓ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Denmark - Süperlig – 2024/2025

FC Nordsjaelland vs Midtjylland Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.9
Draw
24%
3.64
Away
31%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.23
Over 2.5
60%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.55
No
40%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
4.67
2-3 Goals
37%
1.91
4-5 Goals
29%
2.85
6+ Goals
14%
7.98
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
2.52
1/2
7%
33.0
1/X
6%
13.0
X/1
14%
4.66
X/2
8%
7.79
X/X
10%
5.58
2/1 EV+ ✗
8%
21.45
2/2
17%
5.15
2/X
7%
13.3
Value flag · 2/1 at 21.45 — our 8% vs market 2.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
49%
-3.9pp
24%
Draw
24%
-0.5pp
31%
Away Win
27%
+4.4pp
40%
Under 2.5
41%
-0.6pp
60%
Over 2.5
59%
+0.6pp
60%
BTTS Yes
60%
-0.7pp
40%
BTTS No
40%
+0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

FC Nordsjaelland v Midtjylland — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Nordsjaelland EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Midtjylland EU Bookmakers 30%
+7% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +3%
1.80/1.43 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.44/1.56
+24% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +29% / +6%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
381 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 329 · 77%
30.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.7
16.3 Crosses 18.2
1.5 Yellow Cards 3.0

FC Nordsjaelland vs Midtjylland Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Nordsjaelland
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Midtjylland
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.57 xG 1.37
55% Ball Possession 44%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
478 Passes 352
84% Pass Accuracy 80%
25 Box Touches 25
11 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
20.05.2024 FC Nordsjaelland FC Nordsjaelland 3-3 HT 3-2 Midtjylland Midtjylland DAN
01.04.2024 Midtjylland Midtjylland 2-3 HT 0-1 FC Nordsjaelland FC Nordsjaelland DAN
12.11.2023 Midtjylland Midtjylland 2-0 HT 0-0 FC Nordsjaelland FC Nordsjaelland DAN
27.08.2023 FC Nordsjaelland FC Nordsjaelland 3-0 HT 1-0 Midtjylland Midtjylland DAN
07.11.2022 Midtjylland Midtjylland 0-0 HT 0-0 FC Nordsjaelland FC Nordsjaelland DAN
11.09.2022 FC Nordsjaelland FC Nordsjaelland 1-1 HT 1-0 Midtjylland Midtjylland DAN

FC Nordsjaelland 2-2 Midtjylland — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Nordsjaelland
2-2
AWAY Midtjylland
1.02 xG 0.94
66% Ball Possession 34%
3 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 3
654 Passes 306
91% Pass Accuracy 84%
21 Box Touches 21
20 Crosses 16
POST-MATCH FC Nordsjaelland vs Midtjylland
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Nordsjaelland and Midtjylland couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2.

Our pre-match lean was FC Nordsjaelland at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (60%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, FC Nordsjaelland had 66% of the ball to Midtjylland's 34%, shots finished 3-10, expected goals 1.02 to 0.94.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, FC Nordsjaelland had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for FC Nordsjaelland and 1.33 for Midtjylland.

What was the final score of FC Nordsjaelland vs Midtjylland?

FC Nordsjaelland 2-2 Midtjylland in the Denmark - Süperlig on 27/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Nordsjaelland vs Midtjylland?

Before kick-off our model rated a FC Nordsjaelland win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split FC Nordsjaelland 45%, draw 24%, Midtjylland 31%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (FC Nordsjaelland) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (FC Nordsjaelland) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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