Midtjylland 5-0 FC Nordsjaelland — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark - Süperlig, 27 Apr 2025

📅27/04/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.09
Draw
22%
3.72
Away
36%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.63
Over 2.5
57%
1.44
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.39
No
47%
2.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
6.3
2-3 Goals
37%
2.16
4-5 Goals
27%
2.61
6+ Goals
14%
5.64
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
2.92
1/2
5%
25.0
1/X
8%
12.65
X/1
17%
5.61
X/2
11%
7.01
X/X
8%
6.47
2/1 EV+ ✗
8%
20.7
2/2
20%
4.09
2/X
6%
12.95
Value flag · 2/1 at 20.7 — our 8% vs market 2.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
44%
-1.9pp
22%
Draw
23%
-1.7pp
37%
Away Win
33%
+3.7pp
43%
Under 2.5
34%
+8.9pp
57%
Over 2.5
66%
-8.9pp
53%
BTTS Yes
68%
-14.9pp
47%
BTTS No
32%
+14.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Midtjylland EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Nordsjaelland EU Bookmakers 37%
+5% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -26%
1.58/1.34 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.49/1.48
+28% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / -16%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
328 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 378 · 80%
30.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.9
20.9 Crosses 16.3
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Midtjylland
2W-2D-2L
AWAY FC Nordsjaelland
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.48 xG 1.91
41% Ball Possession 59%
16 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 4
310 Passes 506
80% Pass Accuracy 86%
32 Box Touches 31
20 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 2
22.04.2025 FC Nordsjaelland FC Nordsjaelland 3-2 HT 1-1 Midtjylland Midtjylland DAN
02.03.2025 Midtjylland Midtjylland 2-1 HT 0-0 FC Nordsjaelland FC Nordsjaelland DAN
27.07.2024 FC Nordsjaelland FC Nordsjaelland 2-2 HT 2-2 Midtjylland Midtjylland DAN
20.05.2024 FC Nordsjaelland FC Nordsjaelland 3-3 HT 3-2 Midtjylland Midtjylland DAN
01.04.2024 Midtjylland Midtjylland 2-3 HT 0-1 FC Nordsjaelland FC Nordsjaelland DAN
12.11.2023 Midtjylland Midtjylland 2-0 HT 0-0 FC Nordsjaelland FC Nordsjaelland DAN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Midtjylland
5-0
AWAY FC Nordsjaelland
3.19 xG 1.15
53% Ball Possession 47%
23 Total Shots 11
8 Shots on Target 6
8 Corners 2
448 Passes 393
88% Pass Accuracy 83%
46 Box Touches 15
26 Crosses 4
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Midtjylland vs FC Nordsjaelland
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Midtjylland ran out comfortable winners over FC Nordsjaelland 5-0. Half-time: 4-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (42% / 22% / 37%) promised a tight game; Midtjylland found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Midtjylland had 53% of the ball to FC Nordsjaelland's 47%, shots finished 23-11, expected goals 3.19 to 1.15.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Midtjylland and 2.00 for FC Nordsjaelland.

What was the final score of Midtjylland vs FC Nordsjaelland?

Midtjylland 5-0 FC Nordsjaelland in the Denmark - Süperlig on 27/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Midtjylland vs FC Nordsjaelland?

Before kick-off our model rated a Midtjylland win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Midtjylland 42%, draw 22%, FC Nordsjaelland 37%. The final score 5-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Midtjylland), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Midtjylland) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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