SonderjyskE 2-2 Viborg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark - Süperlig, 27 Apr 2025

📅27/04/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.67
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
44%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.1
Over 2.5
58%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.6
No
45%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
4.13
2-3 Goals
41%
1.9
4-5 Goals EV+ ✓
27%
3.17
6+ Goals
12%
10.15
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.17 — our 27% vs market 26.8%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
4.14
1/2 EV+ ✗
9%
24.2
1/X
5%
13.4
X/1
6%
6.34
X/2
8%
5.4
X/X
13%
5.37
2/1
9%
27.5
2/2
27%
3.25
2/X
7%
13.15
Value flag · 1/2 at 24.2 — our 9% vs market 2.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
34%
-3.5pp
25%
Draw
25%
+0.5pp
44%
Away Win
41%
+3.1pp
42%
Under 2.5
44%
-1.6pp
58%
Over 2.5
56%
+1.6pp
55%
BTTS Yes
58%
-3.8pp
45%
BTTS No
42%
+3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME SonderjyskE EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Viborg EU Bookmakers 45%
-2% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -5%
0.93/1.40 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.71/1.19
-17% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / +17%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 5
310 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 294 · 76%
19.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 28.8
15.7 Crosses 19.7
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME SonderjyskE
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Viborg
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
0.95 xG 1.69
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 8
382 Passes 391
82% Pass Accuracy 82%
22 Box Touches 26
17 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 3
06.04.2025 Viborg Viborg 2-1 HT 1-1 SonderjyskE SonderjyskE DAN
27.10.2024 Viborg Viborg 4-2 HT 2-0 SonderjyskE SonderjyskE DAN
01.09.2024 SonderjyskE SonderjyskE 2-2 HT 2-0 Viborg Viborg DAN
12.01.2024 Viborg Viborg 2-1 SonderjyskE SonderjyskE HAZ
21.05.2022 SonderjyskE SonderjyskE 0-2 HT 0-1 Viborg Viborg DAN
01.04.2022 Viborg Viborg 2-1 HT 2-0 SonderjyskE SonderjyskE DAN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME SonderjyskE
2-2
AWAY Viborg
0.64 xG 2.54
47% Ball Possession 53%
6 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 3
308 Passes 350
82% Pass Accuracy 85%
18 Box Touches 27
7 Crosses 18
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH SonderjyskE vs Viborg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

SonderjyskE and Viborg shared the points in a 2-2 draw. It was 2-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Viborg at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (55%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, SonderjyskE had 47% of the ball to Viborg's 53%, shots finished 6-15, expected goals 0.64 to 2.54.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Viborg led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for SonderjyskE and 2.33 for Viborg.

What was the final score of SonderjyskE vs Viborg?

SonderjyskE 2-2 Viborg in the Denmark - Süperlig on 27/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for SonderjyskE vs Viborg?

Before kick-off our model rated an Viborg win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split SonderjyskE 30%, draw 25%, Viborg 44%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Viborg) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Viborg) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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