Roasso Kumamoto 4-1 Giravanz Kitakyushu — Result, Statistics & Match Review — JAP2-3, 22 Feb 2026

📅22/02/2026 · 🕒07:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.75
Draw
24%
3.54
Away
26%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.86
Over 2.5
51%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.82
No
46%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.1
2-3 Goals
44%
1.72
4-5 Goals
21%
3.38
6+ Goals
9%
13.3
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
12%
X/2
10%
X/X
9%
2/1
9%
2/2
10%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
53%
-3.8pp
24%
Draw
25%
-0.9pp
26%
Away Win
22%
+4.6pp
49%
Under 2.5
50%
-0.8pp
51%
Over 2.5
50%
+0.8pp
54%
BTTS Yes
51%
+3.4pp
46%
BTTS No
49%
-3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Roasso Kumamoto EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Giravanz Kitakyushu EU Bookmakers 25%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -32% / -32%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / -20%
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
375 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 273 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses 23.0
Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Roasso Kumamoto
0W-1D-2L
AWAY Giravanz Kitakyushu
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
51% Ball Possession 49%
15 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 6
15.08.2015 Roasso Kumamoto Roasso Kumamoto 0-1 HT 0-1 Giravanz Kitakyushu Giravanz Kitakyushu JAP2
14.06.2015 Giravanz Kitakyushu Giravanz Kitakyushu 2-0 HT 2-0 Roasso Kumamoto Roasso Kumamoto JAP2
07.06.2014 Giravanz Kitakyushu Giravanz Kitakyushu 1-1 HT 1-1 Roasso Kumamoto Roasso Kumamoto JAP2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Roasso Kumamoto
4-1
AWAY Giravanz Kitakyushu
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 15
6 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
428 Passes 311
84% Pass Accuracy 76%
24 Crosses 16
FAQ Roasso Kumamoto vs Giravanz Kitakyushu
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Roasso Kumamoto ran out comfortable winners over Giravanz Kitakyushu 4-1 in the JAP2-3 on 22 Feb 2026. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Roasso Kumamoto had 57% of the ball to Giravanz Kitakyushu's 43%, shots finished 15-15.

Across their last 3 meetings in our records, Giravanz Kitakyushu lead the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Roasso Kumamoto and 1.33 for Giravanz Kitakyushu.

What was the final score of Roasso Kumamoto vs Giravanz Kitakyushu?

Roasso Kumamoto 4-1 Giravanz Kitakyushu in the JAP2-3 on 22/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Roasso Kumamoto vs Giravanz Kitakyushu?

Before kick-off our model rated a Roasso Kumamoto win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Roasso Kumamoto 50%, draw 24%, Giravanz Kitakyushu 26%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Roasso Kumamoto), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Roasso Kumamoto) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
JAP2-3 More JAP2-3
22 Feb 2026
08:00 Tochigi SC vs Vegalta Sendai Analysis →
08:00 Yokohama FC vs Tochigi City Analysis →
08:00 FC Gifu vs Iwaki Analysis →
08:00 Tokushima Vortis vs Kataller Toyama Analysis →
08:00 Kamatamare Sanuki vs Albirex Niigata Analysis →
08:00 Kochi United vs Zweigen Kanazawa Analysis →