Tokushima Vortis 1-3 Kataller Toyama — Result, Statistics & Match Review — JAP2-3, 22 Feb 2026

📅22/02/2026 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
60%
1.64
Draw
20%
3.72
Away
20%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.9
Over 2.5
49%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.85
No
51%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
36%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
18%
X/2
10%
X/X
7%
2/1
6%
2/2
5%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
59%
Home Win
57%
+2.4pp
20%
Draw
24%
-3.3pp
20%
Away Win
19%
+0.9pp
51%
Under 2.5
49%
+2.6pp
49%
Over 2.5
51%
-2.6pp
49%
BTTS Yes
50%
-0.6pp
51%
BTTS No
50%
+0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tokushima Vortis EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Kataller Toyama EU Bookmakers 22%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
304 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 272 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tokushima Vortis
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Kataller Toyama
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 3
371 Passes 373
82% Pass Accuracy 83%
8 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 1
28.09.2025 Kataller Toyama Kataller Toyama 1-3 HT 0-2 Tokushima Vortis Tokushima Vortis JAP2
26.04.2025 Tokushima Vortis Tokushima Vortis 1-0 HT 0-0 Kataller Toyama Kataller Toyama JAP2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tokushima Vortis
1-3
AWAY Kataller Toyama
49% Ball Possession 51%
9 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 8
8 Corners 4
400 Passes 425
84% Pass Accuracy 86%
13 Crosses 17
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Tokushima Vortis vs Kataller Toyama
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kataller Toyama got the better of Tokushima Vortis 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

This one beat our numbers. Tokushima Vortis carried 59% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Tokushima Vortis had 49% of the ball to Kataller Toyama's 51%, shots finished 9-13.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Tokushima Vortis had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Tokushima Vortis and 0.50 for Kataller Toyama.

What was the final score of Tokushima Vortis vs Kataller Toyama?

Tokushima Vortis 1-3 Kataller Toyama in the JAP2-3 on 22/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tokushima Vortis vs Kataller Toyama?

Before kick-off our model rated a Tokushima Vortis win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Tokushima Vortis 59%, draw 20%, Kataller Toyama 20%. The final score 1-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Tokushima Vortis) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
JAP2-3 More JAP2-3
22 Feb 2026
07:00 Roasso Kumamoto vs Giravanz Kitakyushu Analysis →
08:00 Tochigi SC vs Vegalta Sendai Analysis →
08:00 Yokohama FC vs Tochigi City Analysis →
08:00 FC Gifu vs Iwaki Analysis →
08:00 Kamatamare Sanuki vs Albirex Niigata Analysis →
08:00 Kochi United vs Zweigen Kanazawa Analysis →