Tochigi SC 1-2 Vegalta Sendai — Result, Statistics & Match Review — JAP2-3, 22 Feb 2026

📅22/02/2026 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
3.46
Draw
30%
3.18
Away
44%
1.98
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.62
Over 2.5
41%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.96
No
51%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
6%
X/2
19%
X/X
19%
2/1
6%
2/2
20%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
26%
+0.7pp
30%
Draw
28%
+1.9pp
44%
Away Win
46%
-2.6pp
59%
Under 2.5
58%
+0.7pp
41%
Over 2.5
42%
-0.7pp
49%
BTTS Yes
47%
+2.1pp
51%
BTTS No
53%
-2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tochigi SC EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Vegalta Sendai EU Bookmakers 50%
-44% / -44% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-33% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
226 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 353 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
13.0 Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tochigi SC
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Vegalta Sendai
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
353 Passes 337
1 Yellow Cards 1
26.03.2025 Tochigi SC Tochigi SC 0-0 HT 0-0 Vegalta Sendai Vegalta Sendai JLK
29.06.2024 Vegalta Sendai Vegalta Sendai 3-2 HT 3-1 Tochigi SC Tochigi SC JAP2
19.05.2024 Tochigi SC Tochigi SC 1-2 HT 1-1 Vegalta Sendai Vegalta Sendai JAP2
09.07.2023 Tochigi SC Tochigi SC 2-2 HT 1-0 Vegalta Sendai Vegalta Sendai JAP2
26.02.2023 Vegalta Sendai Vegalta Sendai 1-0 HT 0-0 Tochigi SC Tochigi SC JAP2
14.09.2022 Tochigi SC Tochigi SC 0-1 HT 0-1 Vegalta Sendai Vegalta Sendai JAP2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tochigi SC
1-2
AWAY Vegalta Sendai
43% Ball Possession 57%
8 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 6
282 Passes 389
75% Pass Accuracy 82%
9 Crosses 25
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Tochigi SC vs Vegalta Sendai
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vegalta Sendai nicked a narrow win over Tochigi SC 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Vegalta Sendai as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Tochigi SC had 43% of the ball to Vegalta Sendai's 57%, shots finished 8-13.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Vegalta Sendai led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Tochigi SC and 1.50 for Vegalta Sendai.

What was the final score of Tochigi SC vs Vegalta Sendai?

Tochigi SC 1-2 Vegalta Sendai in the JAP2-3 on 22/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tochigi SC vs Vegalta Sendai?

Before kick-off our model rated an Vegalta Sendai win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Tochigi SC 26%, draw 30%, Vegalta Sendai 44%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Vegalta Sendai) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Vegalta Sendai) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
JAP2-3 More JAP2-3
22 Feb 2026
07:00 Roasso Kumamoto vs Giravanz Kitakyushu Analysis →
08:00 Yokohama FC vs Tochigi City Analysis →
08:00 FC Gifu vs Iwaki Analysis →
08:00 Tokushima Vortis vs Kataller Toyama Analysis →
08:00 Kamatamare Sanuki vs Albirex Niigata Analysis →
08:00 Kochi United vs Zweigen Kanazawa Analysis →