Vegalta Sendai 3-2 Tochigi SC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J2 League, 29 Jun 2024

📅29/06/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.8
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
28%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.67
Over 2.5
50%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.99
No
48%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2.67
2-3 Goals
41%
1.77
4-5 Goals
23%
4.39
6+ Goals
10%
22.7
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
13%
X/2
13%
X/X
14%
2/1
8%
2/2
7%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
52%
-6.5pp
27%
Draw
27%
+0.5pp
28%
Away Win
22%
+6.0pp
50%
Under 2.5
56%
-6.1pp
50%
Over 2.5
44%
+6.1pp
52%
BTTS Yes
46%
+5.7pp
48%
BTTS No
54%
-5.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vegalta Sendai EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Tochigi SC EU Bookmakers 25%
-3% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -4%
1.22/0.91 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.70/1.27
-21% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -34% / +14%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
483 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 260 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.2 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Vegalta Sendai
4W-1D-0L
AWAY Tochigi SC
1.60 Avg Goals (FT) 0.80
54% Ball Possession 46%
9 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
337 Passes 353
1 Yellow Cards 1
19.05.2024 Tochigi SC Tochigi SC 1-2 HT 1-1 Vegalta Sendai Vegalta Sendai JAP2
09.07.2023 Tochigi SC Tochigi SC 2-2 HT 1-0 Vegalta Sendai Vegalta Sendai JAP2
26.02.2023 Vegalta Sendai Vegalta Sendai 1-0 HT 0-0 Tochigi SC Tochigi SC JAP2
14.09.2022 Tochigi SC Tochigi SC 0-1 HT 0-1 Vegalta Sendai Vegalta Sendai JAP2
29.05.2022 Vegalta Sendai Vegalta Sendai 2-1 HT 0-0 Tochigi SC Tochigi SC JAP2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Vegalta Sendai
3-2
AWAY Tochigi SC
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 3
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Vegalta Sendai vs Tochigi SC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vegalta Sendai squeezed past Tochigi SC 3-2. Half-time: 3-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Vegalta Sendai as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Vegalta Sendai had 50% of the ball to Tochigi SC's 50%, shots finished 11-15.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Vegalta Sendai had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.60 goals for Vegalta Sendai and 0.80 for Tochigi SC.

What was the final score of Vegalta Sendai vs Tochigi SC?

Vegalta Sendai 3-2 Tochigi SC in the Japan - J2 League on 29/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vegalta Sendai vs Tochigi SC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Vegalta Sendai win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Vegalta Sendai 45%, draw 27%, Tochigi SC 28%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Vegalta Sendai), BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Vegalta Sendai) ✓ BTTS Yes
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