Tokushima Vortis 2-2 V-Varen Nagasaki — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J2 League, 29 Jun 2024

📅29/06/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
3.08
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
43%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.9
Over 2.5
48%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.7
No
47%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
3.36
2-3 Goals
42%
1.79
4-5 Goals
20%
3.52
6+ Goals
11%
13.75
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
11%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
25%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
29%
-0.2pp
28%
Draw
27%
+1.2pp
43%
Away Win
44%
-0.9pp
52%
Under 2.5
49%
+2.8pp
48%
Over 2.5
51%
-2.8pp
53%
BTTS Yes
55%
-1.9pp
47%
BTTS No
45%
+1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tokushima Vortis EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY V-Varen Nagasaki EU Bookmakers 48%
-6% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +17%
0.89/1.41 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.68/0.95
-20% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +23% / +12%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
346 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 386 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 0.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tokushima Vortis
3W-1D-2L
AWAY V-Varen Nagasaki
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 6
375 Passes 335
1 Yellow Cards 1
13.04.2024 V-Varen Nagasaki V-Varen Nagasaki 6-1 HT 2-0 Tokushima Vortis Tokushima Vortis JAP2
28.10.2023 V-Varen Nagasaki V-Varen Nagasaki 1-2 HT 1-1 Tokushima Vortis Tokushima Vortis JAP2
16.04.2023 Tokushima Vortis Tokushima Vortis 0-4 HT 0-1 V-Varen Nagasaki V-Varen Nagasaki JAP2
08.10.2022 V-Varen Nagasaki V-Varen Nagasaki 1-2 HT 0-2 Tokushima Vortis Tokushima Vortis JAP2
03.04.2022 Tokushima Vortis Tokushima Vortis 0-0 HT 0-0 V-Varen Nagasaki V-Varen Nagasaki JAP2
30.09.2020 V-Varen Nagasaki V-Varen Nagasaki 0-1 HT 0-0 Tokushima Vortis Tokushima Vortis JAP2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tokushima Vortis
2-2
AWAY V-Varen Nagasaki
46% Ball Possession 54%
14 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 3
1 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Tokushima Vortis vs V-Varen Nagasaki
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tokushima Vortis and V-Varen Nagasaki couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was V-Varen Nagasaki at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Tokushima Vortis had 46% of the ball to V-Varen Nagasaki's 54%, shots finished 14-10.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Tokushima Vortis had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Tokushima Vortis and 2.00 for V-Varen Nagasaki.

What was the final score of Tokushima Vortis vs V-Varen Nagasaki?

Tokushima Vortis 2-2 V-Varen Nagasaki in the Japan - J2 League on 29/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tokushima Vortis vs V-Varen Nagasaki?

Before kick-off our model rated an V-Varen Nagasaki win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Tokushima Vortis 29%, draw 28%, V-Varen Nagasaki 43%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (V-Varen Nagasaki), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (V-Varen Nagasaki) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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