Mito HollyHock 1-1 Renofa Yamaguchi — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J2 League, 29 Jun 2024

📅29/06/2024 · 🕒12:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
2.94
Draw
26%
3.11
Away
44%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.54
Over 2.5
48%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.03
No
52%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.37
2-3 Goals
39%
1.78
4-5 Goals
20%
5.1
6+ Goals
11%
31.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
9%
1/X
7%
X/1
8%
X/2
12%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
23%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
31%
-1.2pp
26%
Draw
29%
-3.2pp
44%
Away Win
40%
+4.3pp
52%
Under 2.5
61%
-8.8pp
48%
Over 2.5
39%
+8.8pp
48%
BTTS Yes
45%
+2.6pp
52%
BTTS No
55%
-2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mito HollyHock EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Renofa Yamaguchi EU Bookmakers 43%
-4% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -3%
1.25/1.34 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.30/1.22
+14% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / -14%
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
291 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 473 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 0.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mito HollyHock
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Renofa Yamaguchi
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
44% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
465 Passes 176
2 Yellow Cards 2
21.04.2024 Renofa Yamaguchi Renofa Yamaguchi 1-2 HT 1-2 Mito HollyHock Mito HollyHock JAP2
03.09.2023 Renofa Yamaguchi Renofa Yamaguchi 1-2 HT 1-2 Mito HollyHock Mito HollyHock JAP2
07.06.2023 Mito HollyHock Mito HollyHock 1-0 HT 0-0 Renofa Yamaguchi Renofa Yamaguchi JPK
28.05.2023 Mito HollyHock Mito HollyHock 0-1 HT 0-0 Renofa Yamaguchi Renofa Yamaguchi JAP2
20.08.2022 Renofa Yamaguchi Renofa Yamaguchi 1-0 HT 1-0 Mito HollyHock Mito HollyHock JAP2
01.06.2022 Mito HollyHock Mito HollyHock 1-2 HT 0-1 Renofa Yamaguchi Renofa Yamaguchi JPK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mito HollyHock
1-1
AWAY Renofa Yamaguchi
42% Ball Possession 58%
6 Total Shots 20
1 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Mito HollyHock vs Renofa Yamaguchi
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mito HollyHock and Renofa Yamaguchi shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Renofa Yamaguchi at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Mito HollyHock had 42% of the ball to Renofa Yamaguchi's 58%, shots finished 6-20.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Mito HollyHock and 1.00 for Renofa Yamaguchi.

What was the final score of Mito HollyHock vs Renofa Yamaguchi?

Mito HollyHock 1-1 Renofa Yamaguchi in the Japan - J2 League on 29/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mito HollyHock vs Renofa Yamaguchi?

Before kick-off our model rated an Renofa Yamaguchi win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Mito HollyHock 30%, draw 26%, Renofa Yamaguchi 44%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Renofa Yamaguchi), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Renofa Yamaguchi) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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