Budapest Honved 1-0 Ajka — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hungary - NB II, 22 Feb 2026

📅22/02/2026 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
68%
1.45
Draw
17%
4.19
Away
15%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.03
Over 2.5
51%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.9
No
56%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
42%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
19%
X/2
5%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
6%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
68%
Home Win
65%
+2.8pp
17%
Draw
21%
-3.4pp
15%
Away Win
14%
+0.6pp
49%
Under 2.5
45%
+3.5pp
51%
Over 2.5
55%
-3.5pp
44%
BTTS Yes
49%
-5.0pp
56%
BTTS No
51%
+5.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Budapest Honved EU Bookmakers 69%
Head to Head
AWAY Ajka EU Bookmakers 17%
+5% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +7%
2.33/0.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.86/1.24
+27% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / +36%
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
372 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 254 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 3.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Budapest Honved
2W-0D-3L
AWAY Ajka
0.80 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
47% Ball Possession 53%
8 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 8
2 Yellow Cards 3
17.08.2025 Ajka Ajka 1-0 HT 1-0 Budapest Honved Budapest Honved MAC2
02.03.2025 Ajka Ajka 2-0 HT 2-0 Budapest Honved Budapest Honved MAC2
18.08.2024 Budapest Honved Budapest Honved 1-2 HT 1-1 Ajka Ajka MAC2
12.05.2024 Ajka Ajka 0-2 HT 0-1 Budapest Honved Budapest Honved MAC2
12.11.2023 Budapest Honved Budapest Honved 1-0 HT 1-0 Ajka Ajka MAC2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Budapest Honved
1-0
AWAY Ajka
51% Ball Possession 49%
17 Total Shots 6
7 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Budapest Honved vs Ajka
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Budapest Honved edged past Ajka 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Budapest Honved as the likeliest winner at 68%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (56%) came in.

On the day, Budapest Honved had 51% of the ball to Ajka's 49%, shots finished 17-6.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Ajka led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 0.80 goals for Budapest Honved and 1.00 for Ajka.

What was the final score of Budapest Honved vs Ajka?

Budapest Honved 1-0 Ajka in the Hungary - NB II on 22/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Budapest Honved vs Ajka?

Before kick-off our model rated a Budapest Honved win the most likely single outcome at about 68%, with the full match-result split Budapest Honved 68%, draw 17%, Ajka 15%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Budapest Honved), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Budapest Honved) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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