Arnavutköy Belediye 1-0 Mardin 1969 Spor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 2nd Division Kırmızı Grup, 22 Feb 2026

📅22/02/2026 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-2 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
17%
5.09
Draw
21%
3.8
Away
62%
1.56
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
Over 2.5
52%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
No
56%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
8%
1/X
3%
X/1
6%
X/2
18%
X/X
14%
2/1
4%
2/2
36%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
17%
Home Win
17%
+0.1pp
21%
Draw
23%
-2.2pp
62%
Away Win
60%
+2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Arnavutköy Belediye EU Bookmakers 20%
Head to Head
AWAY Mardin 1969 Spor EU Bookmakers 64%
-5% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -8%
0.75/2.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.67/0.32
-17% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -68% / +150%
43% Ball Possession 57%
8 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 5
237 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 395 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Arnavutköy Belediye
1-0
AWAY Mardin 1969 Spor
39% Ball Possession 61%
5 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Arnavutköy Belediye vs Mardin 1969 Spor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Arnavutköy Belediye squeezed past Mardin 1969 Spor 1-0.

This one beat our numbers. Mardin 1969 Spor carried 62% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Arnavutköy Belediye had 39% of the ball to Mardin 1969 Spor's 61%, shots finished 5-12.

What was the final score of Arnavutköy Belediye vs Mardin 1969 Spor?

Arnavutköy Belediye 1-0 Mardin 1969 Spor in the Turkey - 2nd Division Kırmızı Grup on 22/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Arnavutköy Belediye vs Mardin 1969 Spor?

Before kick-off our model rated an Mardin 1969 Spor win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Arnavutköy Belediye 17%, draw 21%, Mardin 1969 Spor 62%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Mardin 1969 Spor), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Mardin 1969 Spor) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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