GMG Kastamonuspor 1-0 24Erzincanspor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 2nd Division Kırmızı Grup, 22 Feb 2026

📅22/02/2026 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.05
Draw
24%
3.28
Away
30%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
Over 2.5
47%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
No
50%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
48%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
17%
X/2
9%
X/X
10%
2/1
10%
2/2
15%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
45%
+1.2pp
24%
Draw
27%
-3.0pp
30%
Away Win
28%
+1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME GMG Kastamonuspor EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY 24Erzincanspor EU Bookmakers 32%
+1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -8%
2.40/0.76 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.74/1.26
+55% / +34% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -38% / +8%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
363 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 241 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME GMG Kastamonuspor
1W-2D-1L
AWAY 24Erzincanspor
1.25 Avg Goals (FT) 1.25
7 Corners 4
12.10.2025 24Erzincanspor 24Erzincanspor 2-0 HT 1-0 GMG Kastamonuspor GMG Kastamonuspor T2L-B
30.11.2024 GMG Kastamonuspor GMG Kastamonuspor 2-2 HT 0-1 24Erzincanspor 24Erzincanspor T2L-B
03.09.2023 GMG Kastamonuspor GMG Kastamonuspor 2-0 HT 1-0 24Erzincanspor 24Erzincanspor S2-K
30.10.2019 GMG Kastamonuspor GMG Kastamonuspor 1-1 HT 0-0 24Erzincanspor 24Erzincanspor TÜK
POST-MATCH GMG Kastamonuspor vs 24Erzincanspor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

GMG Kastamonuspor nicked a narrow win over 24Erzincanspor 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had GMG Kastamonuspor as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.25 goals for GMG Kastamonuspor and 1.25 for 24Erzincanspor.

What was the final score of GMG Kastamonuspor vs 24Erzincanspor?

GMG Kastamonuspor 1-0 24Erzincanspor in the Turkey - 2nd Division Kırmızı Grup on 22/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for GMG Kastamonuspor vs 24Erzincanspor?

Before kick-off our model rated a GMG Kastamonuspor win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split GMG Kastamonuspor 46%, draw 24%, 24Erzincanspor 30%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (GMG Kastamonuspor), Under 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (GMG Kastamonuspor) ✓ Under 2.5
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