Kırklarelispor 3-2 Kahramanmaraş İstiklalspor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 2nd Division Kırmızı Grup, 22 Feb 2026

📅22/02/2026 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
20%
5.91
Draw
15%
4.34
Away
65%
1.41
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
Over 2.5
52%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
No
52%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
7%
X/2
28%
X/X
5%
2/1
5%
2/2
30%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
20%
Home Win
14%
+5.9pp
15%
Draw
20%
-4.3pp
65%
Away Win
66%
-1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kırklarelispor EU Bookmakers 17%
Head to Head
AWAY Kahramanmaraş İstiklalspor EU Bookmakers 71%
-1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +2%
0.56/1.54 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 7.00/1.00
-39% / +26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +150% / -27%
45% Ball Possession 55%
8 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 4
234 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 404 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kırklarelispor
3-2
AWAY Kahramanmaraş İstiklalspor
41% Ball Possession 59%
9 Total Shots 18
5 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 5
4 Yellow Cards 6
POST-MATCH Kırklarelispor vs Kahramanmaraş İstiklalspor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kırklarelispor squeezed past Kahramanmaraş İstiklalspor 3-2. It was 1-2 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Kahramanmaraş İstiklalspor at 65% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Kırklarelispor had 41% of the ball to Kahramanmaraş İstiklalspor's 59%, shots finished 9-18.

What was the final score of Kırklarelispor vs Kahramanmaraş İstiklalspor?

Kırklarelispor 3-2 Kahramanmaraş İstiklalspor in the Turkey - 2nd Division Kırmızı Grup on 22/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kırklarelispor vs Kahramanmaraş İstiklalspor?

Before kick-off our model rated an Kahramanmaraş İstiklalspor win the most likely single outcome at about 65%, with the full match-result split Kırklarelispor 20%, draw 15%, Kahramanmaraş İstiklalspor 65%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Kahramanmaraş İstiklalspor), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Kahramanmaraş İstiklalspor) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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