EM Mahdia 1-0 US Bouselem — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Tunisia - 2nd Division Yükselme, 22 Feb 2026

📅22/02/2026 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.82
Draw
31%
3.11
Away
22%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.56
Over 2.5
40%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
2.33
No
47%
1.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
50%
4-5 Goals
13%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
4%
1/X
9%
X/1
20%
X/2
8%
X/X
15%
2/1
7%
2/2
10%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
51%
-4.3pp
31%
Draw
29%
+1.9pp
22%
Away Win
20%
+2.4pp
60%
Under 2.5
60%
-0.2pp
40%
Over 2.5
40%
+0.2pp
53%
BTTS Yes
39%
+14.1pp
47%
BTTS No
61%
-14.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME EM Mahdia EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY US Bouselem EU Bookmakers 22%
+1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-24% / +46% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
319 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 298 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH EM Mahdia vs US Bouselem
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

EM Mahdia edged past US Bouselem 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had EM Mahdia as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (60%) came in.

What was the final score of EM Mahdia vs US Bouselem?

EM Mahdia 1-0 US Bouselem in the Tunisia - 2nd Division Yükselme on 22/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for EM Mahdia vs US Bouselem?

Before kick-off our model rated a EM Mahdia win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split EM Mahdia 47%, draw 31%, US Bouselem 22%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (EM Mahdia), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (EM Mahdia) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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