Kerkennah 1-2 Sfax Railways — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Tunisia - 2nd Division Yükselme, 22 Feb 2026

📅22/02/2026 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
2.18
Draw
26%
2.83
Away
27%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
Over 2.5
36%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.29
No
59%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
41%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
22%
X/2
12%
X/X
14%
2/1
4%
2/2
11%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
42%
+4.7pp
26%
Draw
32%
-5.6pp
27%
Away Win
26%
+0.9pp
41%
BTTS Yes
40%
+1.1pp
59%
BTTS No
60%
-1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kerkennah EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Sfax Railways EU Bookmakers 29%
-12% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +19% / +19%
0.94/0.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.76/0.16
-18% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / +150%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
336 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 267 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kerkennah
0W-2D-1L
AWAY Sfax Railways
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
40% Ball Possession 60%
6 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 6
4 Yellow Cards 2
18.10.2025 Sfax Railways 0-0 HT 0-0 Kerkennah Kerkennah TUN2
21.04.2025 Sfax Railways 1-1 Kerkennah Kerkennah TUN2
08.12.2024 Kerkennah Kerkennah 1-2 Sfax Railways TUN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kerkennah
1-2
AWAY Sfax Railways
53% Ball Possession 47%
7 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 0
POST-MATCH Kerkennah vs Sfax Railways
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sfax Railways squeezed past Kerkennah 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Kerkennah at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Kerkennah had 53% of the ball to Sfax Railways's 47%, shots finished 7-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Sfax Railways led the recent series with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Kerkennah and 1.00 for Sfax Railways.

What was the final score of Kerkennah vs Sfax Railways?

Kerkennah 1-2 Sfax Railways in the Tunisia - 2nd Division Yükselme on 22/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kerkennah vs Sfax Railways?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kerkennah win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Kerkennah 47%, draw 26%, Sfax Railways 27%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Kerkennah) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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